Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             55 26 275 190  0.009 40.234    1  0.290    1  0.306    1  0.322    1 0.5435   29  0.939    8  0.176    1  0.469
MAPLE LEAFS      50 30 260 228  0.007 40.065    2  0.216    2  0.213   10  0.108    2 0.5307   13  1.095    9  0.144   14  0.072
CAPITALS         50 30 283 226  0.001 39.736    3  0.214    3  0.208    5  0.200    3 0.5301    6  1.155    2  0.311   13  0.089
STARS            50 30 272 213 -0.000 39.576    4  0.214    4  0.208    3  0.231    4 0.5295   15  1.071    5  0.238    6  0.224
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   49 31 267 213 -0.002 39.579    5  0.195    5  0.187    4  0.221    5 0.5268   17  1.055    6  0.210    5  0.232
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.690    6  0.166    6  0.161    7  0.143    6 0.5230    7  1.151    4  0.249   16  0.037
HURRICANES       47 33 259 222  0.001 39.860    7  0.150    7  0.147    8  0.136    8 0.5208   16  1.066   10  0.137   10  0.135
PANTHERS         47 33 248 213 -0.000 39.832    8  0.149    9  0.146    9  0.118    7 0.5213   26  0.963   15 -0.001    4  0.237
OILERS           47 33 256 231 -0.001 39.856    9  0.147    8  0.146   12  0.079    9 0.5208   14  1.087   11  0.105   15  0.053
KINGS            46 33 238 196 -0.006 39.065   10  0.131   10  0.130    6  0.160   10 0.5188   32  0.866   18 -0.068    2  0.387
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        46 34 289 214  0.001 39.604   11  0.127   11  0.124    2  0.286   11 0.5186   10  1.135    1  0.372    7  0.200
SENATORS         44 36 233 225  0.006 40.159   12  0.073   12  0.087   14  0.043   12 0.5127   28  0.941   23 -0.102    8  0.188
WILD             44 37 225 237  0.005 40.769   13  0.059   13  0.077   19 -0.039   13 0.5105   27  0.943   27 -0.182   12  0.103
BLUES            43 38 248 232  0.004 40.556   14  0.041   14  0.054   13  0.062   14 0.5079   23  1.016   14  0.004   11  0.119
DEVILS           41 39 235 213  0.006 40.053   15  0.016   15  0.022   11  0.098   15 0.5036   30  0.911   21 -0.080    3  0.277
CANADIENS        39 41 238 259  0.009 40.399   16 -0.013   16 -0.014   20 -0.045   16 0.4984   12  1.109   13  0.009   22 -0.099
FLAMES           39 41 215 233 -0.016 39.656   17 -0.025   17 -0.030   21 -0.055   17 0.4953   31  0.866   31 -0.282    9  0.172
BLUE JACKETS     38 42 264 267  0.007 40.326   18 -0.029   18 -0.036   17 -0.038   18 0.4947    2  1.239    7  0.182   27 -0.257
RED WINGS        37 42 224 249 -0.003 39.632   19 -0.046   19 -0.054   23 -0.097   19 0.4922   19  1.033   25 -0.135   20 -0.058
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 37 43 233 242  0.003 40.196   20 -0.051   20 -0.061   16 -0.033   20 0.4911   24  1.014   22 -0.093   17  0.028
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS          37 43 233 248 -0.004 39.994   21 -0.055   21 -0.065   18 -0.039   21 0.4906   18  1.037   20 -0.073   18 -0.005
RANGERS          37 43 247 252 -0.008 39.829   22 -0.057   22 -0.068   15 -0.000   22 0.4905    9  1.143   12  0.096   21 -0.097
SABRES           35 45 264 281  0.003 40.272   23 -0.095   23 -0.101   22 -0.066   23 0.4854    1  1.329    3  0.274   31 -0.406
DUCKS            35 45 218 258 -0.005 40.206   24 -0.104   24 -0.105   27 -0.166   25 0.4843   21  1.020   30 -0.219   23 -0.113
ISLANDERS        35 45 222 251 -0.007 40.020   25 -0.104   25 -0.107   25 -0.103   24 0.4844   25  1.004   26 -0.175   19 -0.032
KRAKEN           35 46 242 259 -0.007 40.521   26 -0.119   26 -0.119   24 -0.103   26 0.4829   11  1.128   16 -0.025   25 -0.180
FLYERS           33 47 234 278  0.002 40.397   27 -0.151   27 -0.144   28 -0.177   27 0.4793    8  1.151   19 -0.072   28 -0.283
BRUINS           33 48 218 267  0.009 41.098   28 -0.157   28 -0.150   26 -0.157   28 0.4788   20  1.029   28 -0.200   24 -0.113
PENGUINS         33 48 238 291  0.000 40.886   29 -0.165   29 -0.155   29 -0.211   29 0.4776    3  1.193   17 -0.051   29 -0.370
PREDATORS        29 51 206 266  0.004 40.632   30 -0.234   30 -0.227   30 -0.243   30 0.4674   22  1.017   32 -0.300   26 -0.187
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       23 57 218 290 -0.006 40.335   31 -0.352   31 -0.361   31 -0.268   31 0.4483    5  1.176   24 -0.131   30 -0.405
SHARKS           20 60 209 310 -0.004 40.561   32 -0.431   32 -0.427   32 -0.369   32 0.4395    4  1.189   29 -0.214   32 -0.523

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   49 31 267 213 -0.002 39.579    5  0.195    5  0.187    4  0.221    5 0.5268   17  1.055    6  0.210    5  0.232
OILERS           47 33 256 231 -0.001 39.856    9  0.147    8  0.146   12  0.079    9 0.5208   14  1.087   11  0.105   15  0.053
KINGS            46 33 238 196 -0.006 39.065   10  0.131   10  0.130    6  0.160   10 0.5188   32  0.866   18 -0.068    2  0.387
FLAMES           39 41 215 233 -0.016 39.656   17 -0.025   17 -0.030   21 -0.055   17 0.4953   31  0.866   31 -0.282    9  0.172
CANUCKS          37 43 233 248 -0.004 39.994   21 -0.055   21 -0.065   18 -0.039   21 0.4906   18  1.037   20 -0.073   18 -0.005
DUCKS            35 45 218 258 -0.005 40.206   24 -0.104   24 -0.105   27 -0.166   25 0.4843   21  1.020   30 -0.219   23 -0.113
KRAKEN           35 46 242 259 -0.007 40.521   26 -0.119   26 -0.119   24 -0.103   26 0.4829   11  1.128   16 -0.025   25 -0.180
SHARKS           20 60 209 310 -0.004 40.561   32 -0.431   32 -0.427   32 -0.369   32 0.4395    4  1.189   29 -0.214   32 -0.523

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             55 26 275 190  0.009 40.234    1  0.290    1  0.306    1  0.322    1 0.5435   29  0.939    8  0.176    1  0.469
STARS            50 30 272 213 -0.000 39.576    4  0.214    4  0.208    3  0.231    4 0.5295   15  1.071    5  0.238    6  0.224
AVALANCHE        49 33 277 234 -0.003 40.690    6  0.166    6  0.161    7  0.143    6 0.5230    7  1.151    4  0.249   16  0.037
WILD             44 37 225 237  0.005 40.769   13  0.059   13  0.077   19 -0.039   13 0.5105   27  0.943   27 -0.182   12  0.103
BLUES            43 38 248 232  0.004 40.556   14  0.041   14  0.054   13  0.062   14 0.5079   23  1.016   14  0.004   11  0.119
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 37 43 233 242  0.003 40.196   20 -0.051   20 -0.061   16 -0.033   20 0.4911   24  1.014   22 -0.093   17  0.028
PREDATORS        29 51 206 266  0.004 40.632   30 -0.234   30 -0.227   30 -0.243   30 0.4674   22  1.017   32 -0.300   26 -0.187
BLACKHAWKS       23 57 218 290 -0.006 40.335   31 -0.352   31 -0.361   31 -0.268   31 0.4483    5  1.176   24 -0.131   30 -0.405

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         50 30 283 226  0.001 39.736    3  0.214    3  0.208    5  0.200    3 0.5301    6  1.155    2  0.311   13  0.089
HURRICANES       47 33 259 222  0.001 39.860    7  0.150    7  0.147    8  0.136    8 0.5208   16  1.066   10  0.137   10  0.135
DEVILS           41 39 235 213  0.006 40.053   15  0.016   15  0.022   11  0.098   15 0.5036   30  0.911   21 -0.080    3  0.277
BLUE JACKETS     38 42 264 267  0.007 40.326   18 -0.029   18 -0.036   17 -0.038   18 0.4947    2  1.239    7  0.182   27 -0.257
RANGERS          37 43 247 252 -0.008 39.829   22 -0.057   22 -0.068   15 -0.000   22 0.4905    9  1.143   12  0.096   21 -0.097
ISLANDERS        35 45 222 251 -0.007 40.020   25 -0.104   25 -0.107   25 -0.103   24 0.4844   25  1.004   26 -0.175   19 -0.032
FLYERS           33 47 234 278  0.002 40.397   27 -0.151   27 -0.144   28 -0.177   27 0.4793    8  1.151   19 -0.072   28 -0.283
PENGUINS         33 48 238 291  0.000 40.886   29 -0.165   29 -0.155   29 -0.211   29 0.4776    3  1.193   17 -0.051   29 -0.370

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      50 30 260 228  0.007 40.065    2  0.216    2  0.213   10  0.108    2 0.5307   13  1.095    9  0.144   14  0.072
PANTHERS         47 33 248 213 -0.000 39.832    8  0.149    9  0.146    9  0.118    7 0.5213   26  0.963   15 -0.001    4  0.237
LIGHTNING        46 34 289 214  0.001 39.604   11  0.127   11  0.124    2  0.286   11 0.5186   10  1.135    1  0.372    7  0.200
SENATORS         44 36 233 225  0.006 40.159   12  0.073   12  0.087   14  0.043   12 0.5127   28  0.941   23 -0.102    8  0.188
CANADIENS        39 41 238 259  0.009 40.399   16 -0.013   16 -0.014   20 -0.045   16 0.4984   12  1.109   13  0.009   22 -0.099
RED WINGS        37 42 224 249 -0.003 39.632   19 -0.046   19 -0.054   23 -0.097   19 0.4922   19  1.033   25 -0.135   20 -0.058
SABRES           35 45 264 281  0.003 40.272   23 -0.095   23 -0.101   22 -0.066   23 0.4854    1  1.329    3  0.274   31 -0.406
BRUINS           33 48 218 267  0.009 41.098   28 -0.157   28 -0.150   26 -0.157   28 0.4788   20  1.029   28 -0.200   24 -0.113

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     331 309 0.517    1  0.031
CENTRAL DIVISION      330 315 0.512    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 314 327 0.490    3 -0.016
PACIFIC DIVISION      308 332 0.481    4 -0.044

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.140 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Apr 14 05:30:11 2025
games through: Sun Apr 13 2025

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.