Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     52 28 292 236  0.007 40.129    2  0.243    2  0.242    3  0.191    1 0.5373    6  1.200    3  0.327   11  0.054
AVALANCHE      52 27 295 201 -0.007 38.915    1  0.248    1  0.245    1  0.373    2 0.5372   16  1.086    1  0.366    1  0.380
LIGHTNING      49 31 284 224  0.016 40.351    3  0.200    4  0.186    2  0.226    3 0.5298   13  1.133    4  0.277    4  0.174
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.332    4  0.199    3  0.186    5  0.171    4 0.5293    9  1.163    5  0.260    9  0.082
CANADIENS      47 33 277 251  0.017 40.543    6  0.156    6  0.149    9  0.105    5 0.5230    7  1.188    7  0.225   22 -0.016
STARS          48 32 269 218 -0.009 39.606    5  0.161    5  0.152    4  0.179    6 0.5225   21  1.030   13  0.106    2  0.253
WILD           45 35 266 232 -0.007 39.712    7  0.086    7  0.093    7  0.135    7 0.5136   20  1.068   12  0.106    5  0.163
BRUINS         43 37 265 248  0.023 40.747    8  0.062    8  0.072   10  0.084    8 0.5117   12  1.134   10  0.136   14  0.032
SENATORS       43 37 272 241  0.013 40.362    9  0.061    9  0.068    6  0.136    9 0.5110   11  1.159    8  0.220   13  0.052
ISLANDERS      43 37 231 235  0.006 40.348   10  0.051   10  0.063   17 -0.009   10 0.5100   30  0.956   23 -0.169    6  0.150
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAMMOTH        42 37 259 228 -0.003 39.412   11  0.040   11  0.047   11  0.079   11 0.5067   17  1.084   14  0.069    8  0.088
DEVILS         41 39 226 247  0.015 40.747   17  0.017   13  0.029   24 -0.098   12 0.5050   26  0.995   26 -0.213   20  0.017
PENGUINS       41 39 288 258  0.010 40.277   13  0.023   16  0.026    8  0.127   13 0.5050    3  1.264    2  0.347   25 -0.093
DUCKS          42 37 263 277 -0.023 39.043   12  0.025   12  0.034   25 -0.100   14 0.5049    1  1.284    9  0.146   31 -0.346
CAPITALS       41 39 258 243  0.006 40.220   16  0.017   17  0.022   12  0.072   15 0.5045   14  1.126   11  0.114   19  0.030
FLYERS         41 39 243 239  0.011 40.522   14  0.020   15  0.028   15  0.014   16 0.5045   27  0.984   21 -0.113    7  0.141
RED WINGS      41 39 237 246  0.012 40.545   15  0.019   14  0.028   18 -0.025   17 0.5044   22  1.014   22 -0.118   10  0.068
BLUE JACKETS   40 40 250 248  0.015 40.602   18  0.006   18  0.009   16  0.003   18 0.5023   19  1.068   18 -0.025   16  0.031
OILERS         40 40 275 266 -0.026 39.272   19 -0.009   19 -0.016   13  0.026   19 0.4973    2  1.265    6  0.248   27 -0.195
PANTHERS       38 42 240 273  0.021 40.960   20 -0.018   20 -0.026   26 -0.103   20 0.4965    8  1.175   16  0.002   28 -0.207
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PREDATORS      38 42 241 261 -0.001 40.224   21 -0.029   21 -0.040   22 -0.083   21 0.4925   15  1.116   20 -0.054   26 -0.113
SHARKS         37 42 240 284 -0.018 39.337   23 -0.052   22 -0.061   29 -0.182   22 0.4902    5  1.208   19 -0.035   30 -0.329
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 37 43 255 247 -0.017 39.571   22 -0.051   23 -0.069   14  0.016   23 0.4890   18  1.079   17  0.001   15  0.031
JETS           35 44 225 243 -0.005 39.596   24 -0.083   24 -0.092   21 -0.080   24 0.4849   25  0.998   25 -0.192   17  0.031
KINGS          34 45 216 237 -0.015 39.237   25 -0.114   25 -0.119   19 -0.060   25 0.4813   32  0.855   30 -0.332    3  0.212
BLUES          34 45 213 247 -0.020 39.142   26 -0.119   26 -0.120   23 -0.087   26 0.4810   29  0.973   28 -0.228   12  0.053
RANGERS        33 47 232 245  0.015 40.722   28 -0.129   28 -0.128   20 -0.070   27 0.4807   23  1.008   24 -0.170   18  0.030
KRAKEN         34 45 222 252 -0.026 38.972   27 -0.128   27 -0.127   27 -0.113   28 0.4804   24  1.002   27 -0.219   21 -0.007
MAPLE LEAFS    32 48 247 290  0.012 40.703   29 -0.157   29 -0.149   28 -0.134   29 0.4778    4  1.225   15  0.035   29 -0.303
FLAMES         32 47 204 254 -0.020 39.258   30 -0.174   30 -0.163   30 -0.207   30 0.4749   31  0.940   32 -0.385   23 -0.030
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     28 52 207 268 -0.010 40.123   31 -0.244   31 -0.244   31 -0.218   31 0.4619   28  0.982   31 -0.348   24 -0.087
CANUCKS        23 56 207 304 -0.015 39.654   32 -0.327   32 -0.340   32 -0.379   32 0.4476   10  1.160   29 -0.294   32 -0.463

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          42 37 263 277 -0.023 39.043   12  0.025   12  0.034   25 -0.100   14 0.5049    1  1.284    9  0.146   31 -0.346
OILERS         40 40 275 266 -0.026 39.272   19 -0.009   19 -0.016   13  0.026   19 0.4973    2  1.265    6  0.248   27 -0.195
SHARKS         37 42 240 284 -0.018 39.337   23 -0.052   22 -0.061   29 -0.182   22 0.4902    5  1.208   19 -0.035   30 -0.329
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 37 43 255 247 -0.017 39.571   22 -0.051   23 -0.069   14  0.016   23 0.4890   18  1.079   17  0.001   15  0.031
KINGS          34 45 216 237 -0.015 39.237   25 -0.114   25 -0.119   19 -0.060   25 0.4813   32  0.855   30 -0.332    3  0.212
KRAKEN         34 45 222 252 -0.026 38.972   27 -0.128   27 -0.127   27 -0.113   28 0.4804   24  1.002   27 -0.219   21 -0.007
FLAMES         32 47 204 254 -0.020 39.258   30 -0.174   30 -0.163   30 -0.207   30 0.4749   31  0.940   32 -0.385   23 -0.030
CANUCKS        23 56 207 304 -0.015 39.654   32 -0.327   32 -0.340   32 -0.379   32 0.4476   10  1.160   29 -0.294   32 -0.463

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      52 27 295 201 -0.007 38.915    1  0.248    1  0.245    1  0.373    2 0.5372   16  1.086    1  0.366    1  0.380
STARS          48 32 269 218 -0.009 39.606    5  0.161    5  0.152    4  0.179    6 0.5225   21  1.030   13  0.106    2  0.253
WILD           45 35 266 232 -0.007 39.712    7  0.086    7  0.093    7  0.135    7 0.5136   20  1.068   12  0.106    5  0.163
MAMMOTH        42 37 259 228 -0.003 39.412   11  0.040   11  0.047   11  0.079   11 0.5067   17  1.084   14  0.069    8  0.088
PREDATORS      38 42 241 261 -0.001 40.224   21 -0.029   21 -0.040   22 -0.083   21 0.4925   15  1.116   20 -0.054   26 -0.113
JETS           35 44 225 243 -0.005 39.596   24 -0.083   24 -0.092   21 -0.080   24 0.4849   25  0.998   25 -0.192   17  0.031
BLUES          34 45 213 247 -0.020 39.142   26 -0.119   26 -0.120   23 -0.087   26 0.4810   29  0.973   28 -0.228   12  0.053
BLACKHAWKS     28 52 207 268 -0.010 40.123   31 -0.244   31 -0.244   31 -0.218   31 0.4619   28  0.982   31 -0.348   24 -0.087

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     52 28 292 236  0.007 40.129    2  0.243    2  0.242    3  0.191    1 0.5373    6  1.200    3  0.327   11  0.054
ISLANDERS      43 37 231 235  0.006 40.348   10  0.051   10  0.063   17 -0.009   10 0.5100   30  0.956   23 -0.169    6  0.150
DEVILS         41 39 226 247  0.015 40.747   17  0.017   13  0.029   24 -0.098   12 0.5050   26  0.995   26 -0.213   20  0.017
PENGUINS       41 39 288 258  0.010 40.277   13  0.023   16  0.026    8  0.127   13 0.5050    3  1.264    2  0.347   25 -0.093
CAPITALS       41 39 258 243  0.006 40.220   16  0.017   17  0.022   12  0.072   15 0.5045   14  1.126   11  0.114   19  0.030
FLYERS         41 39 243 239  0.011 40.522   14  0.020   15  0.028   15  0.014   16 0.5045   27  0.984   21 -0.113    7  0.141
BLUE JACKETS   40 40 250 248  0.015 40.602   18  0.006   18  0.009   16  0.003   18 0.5023   19  1.068   18 -0.025   16  0.031
RANGERS        33 47 232 245  0.015 40.722   28 -0.129   28 -0.128   20 -0.070   27 0.4807   23  1.008   24 -0.170   18  0.030

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      49 31 284 224  0.016 40.351    3  0.200    4  0.186    2  0.226    3 0.5298   13  1.133    4  0.277    4  0.174
SABRES         49 31 280 236  0.013 40.332    4  0.199    3  0.186    5  0.171    4 0.5293    9  1.163    5  0.260    9  0.082
CANADIENS      47 33 277 251  0.017 40.543    6  0.156    6  0.149    9  0.105    5 0.5230    7  1.188    7  0.225   22 -0.016
BRUINS         43 37 265 248  0.023 40.747    8  0.062    8  0.072   10  0.084    8 0.5117   12  1.134   10  0.136   14  0.032
SENATORS       43 37 272 241  0.013 40.362    9  0.061    9  0.068    6  0.136    9 0.5110   11  1.159    8  0.220   13  0.052
RED WINGS      41 39 237 246  0.012 40.545   15  0.019   14  0.028   18 -0.025   17 0.5044   22  1.014   22 -0.118   10  0.068
PANTHERS       38 42 240 273  0.021 40.960   20 -0.018   20 -0.026   26 -0.103   20 0.4965    8  1.175   16  0.002   28 -0.207
MAPLE LEAFS    32 48 247 290  0.012 40.703   29 -0.157   29 -0.149   28 -0.134   29 0.4778    4  1.225   15  0.035   29 -0.303

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     342 298 0.534    1  0.080
CENTRAL DIVISION      322 314 0.506    2  0.051
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 332 308 0.519    3  0.040
PACIFIC DIVISION      279 355 0.440    4 -0.172

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.051 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Apr 12 05:30:09 2026
games through: Sat Apr 11 2026

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