Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      60 27 324 214 -0.020 42.661    1  0.299    1  0.302    1  0.399    1 0.5431   20  1.060    1  0.365    1  0.433
HURRICANES     59 29 313 247  0.010 44.431    2  0.285    2  0.289    2  0.225    2 0.5424   10  1.130    3  0.277    6  0.172
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.019 45.326    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.206    4 0.5265   18  1.082    6  0.199    3  0.212
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.013 44.596    3  0.220    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.145    4  0.276    8  0.134
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.254    6  0.161    6  0.151    5  0.153    6 0.5214   21  1.054   11  0.113    4  0.193
WILD           50 39 301 264  0.006 44.850    7  0.102    7  0.104    6  0.149    7 0.5150   13  1.117    7  0.185    9  0.113
CANADIENS      52 37 299 271  0.034 45.918    5  0.173    5  0.161    7  0.118    5 0.5240    9  1.132    8  0.173   12  0.062
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.818   12  0.028   12  0.029    8  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.118   10  0.153   10  0.078
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.316   10  0.035   11  0.037    9  0.088   10 0.5069   15  1.107   12  0.112   11  0.064
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.604   17 -0.001   17 -0.014   10  0.079   17 0.4991    3  1.248    2  0.282   25 -0.124
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.425    8  0.067    8  0.075   11  0.077    8 0.5121   16  1.106   13  0.099   13  0.055
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 44 45 291 269 -0.022 44.010   20 -0.011   20 -0.025   12  0.055   20 0.4959   17  1.088   15  0.055   14  0.054
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.008 44.003   15  0.013   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5007   14  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.008
FLYERS         47 43 268 260  0.025 46.226    9  0.043    9  0.052   14  0.035    9 0.5077   31  0.925   24 -0.155    2  0.225
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.037 43.042   21 -0.027   21 -0.044   15  0.017   21 0.4944    2  1.261    5  0.237   27 -0.203
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.010 41.705   18 -0.005   19 -0.015   16 -0.010   18 0.4988   19  1.060   19 -0.044   15  0.023
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.005 41.565   11  0.033   10  0.040   17 -0.028   11 0.5069   29  0.948   25 -0.193    7  0.136
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.009 41.726   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.052   15 0.5013   22  1.037   21 -0.113   17  0.009
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.021 40.765   24 -0.079   24 -0.092   19 -0.067   24 0.4857   23  1.027   22 -0.139   19  0.005
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.013 41.880   26 -0.127   26 -0.130   20 -0.068   25 0.4812   25  1.015   23 -0.154   16  0.018
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.005 43.359   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   21 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.847   31 -0.358    5  0.192
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.012 41.863   19 -0.006   18 -0.014   22 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.193   17  0.048   28 -0.215
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.012 41.109   23 -0.054   23 -0.069   23 -0.099   23 0.4893   11  1.121   20 -0.058   26 -0.140
DUCKS          47 42 300 312 -0.027 44.074   14  0.019   14  0.025   24 -0.099   14 0.5033    1  1.288    9  0.157   31 -0.356
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.013 41.932   13  0.021   13  0.026   25 -0.116   13 0.5046   27  0.996   27 -0.225   20 -0.007
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.196   25 -0.122   25 -0.126   26 -0.122   26 0.4807   24  1.022   26 -0.200   23 -0.044
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.024 40.768   28 -0.161   28 -0.157   27 -0.142   28 0.4765   26  0.996   28 -0.250   22 -0.034
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.955   30 -0.177   30 -0.171   28 -0.146   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.049   30 -0.341
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.026 40.756   22 -0.046   22 -0.058   29 -0.175   22 0.4912    5  1.213   18 -0.017   29 -0.334
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.020 40.950   27 -0.159   27 -0.154   30 -0.193   27 0.4770   30  0.931   32 -0.377   21 -0.010
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.113   31 -0.244   31 -0.251   31 -0.227   31 0.4624   28  0.984   30 -0.349   24 -0.105
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.022 41.148   32 -0.317   32 -0.334   32 -0.393   32 0.4503    7  1.160   29 -0.303   32 -0.483

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 44 45 291 269 -0.022 44.010   20 -0.011   20 -0.025   12  0.055   20 0.4959   17  1.088   15  0.055   14  0.054
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.037 43.042   21 -0.027   21 -0.044   15  0.017   21 0.4944    2  1.261    5  0.237   27 -0.203
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.005 43.359   29 -0.162   29 -0.159   21 -0.083   29 0.4765   32  0.847   31 -0.358    5  0.192
DUCKS          47 42 300 312 -0.027 44.074   14  0.019   14  0.025   24 -0.099   14 0.5033    1  1.288    9  0.157   31 -0.356
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.024 40.768   28 -0.161   28 -0.157   27 -0.142   28 0.4765   26  0.996   28 -0.250   22 -0.034
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.026 40.756   22 -0.046   22 -0.058   29 -0.175   22 0.4912    5  1.213   18 -0.017   29 -0.334
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.020 40.950   27 -0.159   27 -0.154   30 -0.193   27 0.4770   30  0.931   32 -0.377   21 -0.010
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.022 41.148   32 -0.317   32 -0.334   32 -0.393   32 0.4503    7  1.160   29 -0.303   32 -0.483

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      60 27 324 214 -0.020 42.661    1  0.299    1  0.302    1  0.399    1 0.5431   20  1.060    1  0.365    1  0.433
STARS          52 36 294 249  0.003 44.254    6  0.161    6  0.151    5  0.153    6 0.5214   21  1.054   11  0.113    4  0.193
WILD           50 39 301 264  0.006 44.850    7  0.102    7  0.104    6  0.149    7 0.5150   13  1.117    7  0.185    9  0.113
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.008 44.003   15  0.013   15  0.011   13  0.043   16 0.5007   14  1.116   14  0.078   18  0.008
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.021 40.765   24 -0.079   24 -0.092   19 -0.067   24 0.4857   23  1.027   22 -0.139   19  0.005
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.012 41.109   23 -0.054   23 -0.069   23 -0.099   23 0.4893   11  1.121   20 -0.058   26 -0.140
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.010 41.196   25 -0.122   25 -0.126   26 -0.122   26 0.4807   24  1.022   26 -0.200   23 -0.044
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.016 41.113   31 -0.244   31 -0.251   31 -0.227   31 0.4624   28  0.984   30 -0.349   24 -0.105

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     59 29 313 247  0.010 44.431    2  0.285    2  0.289    2  0.225    2 0.5424   10  1.130    3  0.277    6  0.172
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244  0.003 41.316   10  0.035   11  0.037    9  0.088   10 0.5069   15  1.107   12  0.112   11  0.064
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.010 44.604   17 -0.001   17 -0.014   10  0.079   17 0.4991    3  1.248    2  0.282   25 -0.124
FLYERS         47 43 268 260  0.025 46.226    9  0.043    9  0.052   14  0.035    9 0.5077   31  0.925   24 -0.155    2  0.225
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.010 41.705   18 -0.005   19 -0.015   16 -0.010   18 0.4988   19  1.060   19 -0.044   15  0.023
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.005 41.565   11  0.033   10  0.040   17 -0.028   11 0.5069   29  0.948   25 -0.193    7  0.136
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.013 41.880   26 -0.127   26 -0.130   20 -0.068   25 0.4812   25  1.015   23 -0.154   16  0.018
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.013 41.932   13  0.021   13  0.026   25 -0.116   13 0.5046   27  0.996   27 -0.225   20 -0.007

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.019 45.326    4  0.192    4  0.169    3  0.206    4 0.5265   18  1.082    6  0.199    3  0.212
SABRES         54 34 308 253  0.013 44.596    3  0.220    3  0.197    4  0.205    3 0.5297    8  1.145    4  0.276    8  0.134
CANADIENS      52 37 299 271  0.034 45.918    5  0.173    5  0.161    7  0.118    5 0.5240    9  1.132    8  0.173   12  0.062
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.018 43.818   12  0.028   12  0.029    8  0.115   12 0.5058   12  1.118   10  0.153   10  0.078
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.033 45.425    8  0.067    8  0.075   11  0.077    8 0.5121   16  1.106   13  0.099   13  0.055
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.009 41.726   16  0.007   16  0.005   18 -0.052   15 0.5013   22  1.037   21 -0.113   17  0.009
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.012 41.863   19 -0.006   18 -0.014   22 -0.083   19 0.4986    6  1.193   17  0.048   28 -0.215
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.013 41.955   30 -0.177   30 -0.171   28 -0.146   30 0.4753    4  1.241   16  0.049   30 -0.341

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     363 323 0.529    1  0.074
CENTRAL DIVISION      346 334 0.509    2  0.037
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 351 325 0.519    3  0.035
PACIFIC DIVISION      301 379 0.443    4 -0.169

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.052 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue May  5 05:30:09 2026
games through: Mon May  4 2026

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