Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      3 1 13  8 -0.045  1.866    3  0.040    3  0.027    1  0.063    3 0.5364   26  0.837   25 -0.162    7  0.288 P
HURRICANES     2 0 10  6  0.016  0.993    2  0.042    2  0.032    2  0.051    2 0.5511    7  1.310    5  0.399   25 -0.298 P
JETS           2 1 12  9  0.030  1.508    6  0.031    6  0.016    3  0.045    5 0.5253   17  1.122   12  0.150   16 -0.060 P
STARS          2 0 10  8  0.309  1.246    1  0.046    1  0.038    4  0.041    1 0.5602    1  1.491    1  0.643   30 -0.562 P
PANTHERS       3 1 13 10 -0.120  1.764    4  0.038    4  0.024    5  0.038    4 0.5288   19  1.049   18  0.054   12  0.023 P
RANGERS        2 2 10  5 -0.048  1.890   17 -0.003   17 -0.006    6  0.031   15 0.5033   31  0.545   31 -0.481    2  0.544 P
BRUINS         3 1 13  9 -0.076  1.842    5  0.035    5  0.022    7  0.029    6 0.5235   22  1.006   20 -0.006   10  0.065 P
OILERS         1 1  6  5 -0.097  0.904   16 -0.001   16 -0.005    8  0.028   17 0.5018   25  0.886   23 -0.143    8  0.199 P
WILD           2 1 13 10 -0.028  1.450   10  0.023   12  0.007    9  0.018   11 0.5141    6  1.312    6  0.369   27 -0.332 P
CAPITALS       2 1  6  5  0.060  1.563    8  0.026    8  0.012   10  0.016    9 0.5184   30  0.583   29 -0.461    3  0.494 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      1 2 11 13  0.002  1.489   18 -0.008   18 -0.015   11  0.016   18 0.4975    4  1.389    2  0.473   29 -0.441 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2 10 11 -0.098  1.366   19 -0.013   19 -0.021   12  0.007   19 0.4924    8  1.255    8  0.282   24 -0.267 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 2 10 11 -0.136  1.318   20 -0.014   23 -0.023   13  0.006   24 0.4824   16  1.126   15  0.116   17 -0.103 P
DEVILS         2 1 11 11  0.095  1.619    9  0.024    9  0.011   14 -0.003    7 0.5230   10  1.203   10  0.204   23 -0.209 P
PREDATORS      2 1  8  5 -0.177  1.270   15 -0.001   15 -0.003   15 -0.003   16 0.5032   29  0.593   30 -0.472    4  0.465 P
BLUES          2 1  9  9 -0.031  1.460   11  0.015   10  0.008   16 -0.007   10 0.5172   21  1.022   22 -0.024   13  0.010 P
KINGS          1 3 12 16  0.191  2.326   25 -0.020   25 -0.025   17 -0.008   23 0.4828   11  1.170   11  0.157   19 -0.173 P
PENGUINS       2 1  8  9  0.049  1.565   12  0.013   11  0.008   18 -0.012   12 0.5073   13  1.168   13  0.150   20 -0.174 P
KRAKEN         2 0  5  2 -0.153  0.870    7  0.026    7  0.015   19 -0.013    8 0.5214   32  0.297   32 -0.734    1  0.708 P
CANUCKS        1 2  8  9 -0.005  1.498   21 -0.016   24 -0.024   20 -0.017   25 0.4817   20  1.041   21 -0.010   14 -0.023 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS         1 2  9  8  0.231  1.799   22 -0.017   20 -0.022   21 -0.018   20 0.4888   24  0.917   24 -0.155    9  0.120 P
CANADIENS      2 1 10  8 -0.106  1.372   13  0.006   14 -0.003   22 -0.024   14 0.5047   18  1.055   19 -0.002   15 -0.047 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 2 10  9  0.052  1.578   27 -0.022   27 -0.027   23 -0.032   26 0.4805   12  1.170   14  0.133   22 -0.196 P
RED WINGS      2 1 10 10  0.008  1.523   14  0.001   13  0.003   24 -0.033   13 0.5065   14  1.158   16  0.115   21 -0.182 P
FLAMES         1 2  7 12  0.029  1.556   24 -0.018   21 -0.022   25 -0.043   22 0.4838   15  1.133   17  0.074   18 -0.161 P
ISLANDERS      0 3  7 13  0.097  1.648   29 -0.040   31 -0.052   26 -0.050   30 0.4516    9  1.251    9  0.219   26 -0.319 P
MAMMOTH        1 2  5  7  0.014  1.545   28 -0.024   28 -0.028   27 -0.051   27 0.4775   27  0.690   27 -0.426    5  0.325 P
SENATORS       1 2  8 14  0.095  1.645   23 -0.018   22 -0.022   28 -0.053   21 0.4842    5  1.336    7  0.330   28 -0.437 P
BLACKHAWKS     1 3 10 11  0.005  2.045   31 -0.042   30 -0.051   29 -0.064   29 0.4561   23  0.928   26 -0.189   11  0.061 P
SABRES         0 3  2 10  0.199  1.789   30 -0.041   29 -0.051   30 -0.078   31 0.4507   28  0.686   28 -0.457    6  0.301 P
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS          1 1  8  9 -0.246  0.822   26 -0.020   26 -0.026   31 -0.083   28 0.4744    2  1.438    3  0.444   32 -0.609 P
SHARKS         0 2  9 11 -0.193  0.870   32 -0.047   32 -0.061   32 -0.092   32 0.4260    3  1.415    4  0.401   31 -0.585 P

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         1 1  6  5 -0.097  0.904   16 -0.001   16 -0.005    8  0.028   17 0.5018   25  0.886   23 -0.143    8  0.199 P
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 1 2 10 11 -0.136  1.318   20 -0.014   23 -0.023   13  0.006   24 0.4824   16  1.126   15  0.116   17 -0.103 P
KINGS          1 3 12 16  0.191  2.326   25 -0.020   25 -0.025   17 -0.008   23 0.4828   11  1.170   11  0.157   19 -0.173 P
KRAKEN         2 0  5  2 -0.153  0.870    7  0.026    7  0.015   19 -0.013    8 0.5214   32  0.297   32 -0.734    1  0.708 P
CANUCKS        1 2  8  9 -0.005  1.498   21 -0.016   24 -0.024   20 -0.017   25 0.4817   20  1.041   21 -0.010   14 -0.023 P
FLAMES         1 2  7 12  0.029  1.556   24 -0.018   21 -0.022   25 -0.043   22 0.4838   15  1.133   17  0.074   18 -0.161 P
DUCKS          1 1  8  9 -0.246  0.822   26 -0.020   26 -0.026   31 -0.083   28 0.4744    2  1.438    3  0.444   32 -0.609 P
SHARKS         0 2  9 11 -0.193  0.870   32 -0.047   32 -0.061   32 -0.092   32 0.4260    3  1.415    4  0.401   31 -0.585 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      3 1 13  8 -0.045  1.866    3  0.040    3  0.027    1  0.063    3 0.5364   26  0.837   25 -0.162    7  0.288 P
JETS           2 1 12  9  0.030  1.508    6  0.031    6  0.016    3  0.045    5 0.5253   17  1.122   12  0.150   16 -0.060 P
STARS          2 0 10  8  0.309  1.246    1  0.046    1  0.038    4  0.041    1 0.5602    1  1.491    1  0.643   30 -0.562 P
WILD           2 1 13 10 -0.028  1.450   10  0.023   12  0.007    9  0.018   11 0.5141    6  1.312    6  0.369   27 -0.332 P
PREDATORS      2 1  8  5 -0.177  1.270   15 -0.001   15 -0.003   15 -0.003   16 0.5032   29  0.593   30 -0.472    4  0.465 P
BLUES          2 1  9  9 -0.031  1.460   11  0.015   10  0.008   16 -0.007   10 0.5172   21  1.022   22 -0.024   13  0.010 P
MAMMOTH        1 2  5  7  0.014  1.545   28 -0.024   28 -0.028   27 -0.051   27 0.4775   27  0.690   27 -0.426    5  0.325 P
BLACKHAWKS     1 3 10 11  0.005  2.045   31 -0.042   30 -0.051   29 -0.064   29 0.4561   23  0.928   26 -0.189   11  0.061 P

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     2 0 10  6  0.016  0.993    2  0.042    2  0.032    2  0.051    2 0.5511    7  1.310    5  0.399   25 -0.298 P
RANGERS        2 2 10  5 -0.048  1.890   17 -0.003   17 -0.006    6  0.031   15 0.5033   31  0.545   31 -0.481    2  0.544 P
CAPITALS       2 1  6  5  0.060  1.563    8  0.026    8  0.012   10  0.016    9 0.5184   30  0.583   29 -0.461    3  0.494 P
DEVILS         2 1 11 11  0.095  1.619    9  0.024    9  0.011   14 -0.003    7 0.5230   10  1.203   10  0.204   23 -0.209 P
PENGUINS       2 1  8  9  0.049  1.565   12  0.013   11  0.008   18 -0.012   12 0.5073   13  1.168   13  0.150   20 -0.174 P
FLYERS         1 2  9  8  0.231  1.799   22 -0.017   20 -0.022   21 -0.018   20 0.4888   24  0.917   24 -0.155    9  0.120 P
BLUE JACKETS   1 2 10  9  0.052  1.578   27 -0.022   27 -0.027   23 -0.032   26 0.4805   12  1.170   14  0.133   22 -0.196 P
ISLANDERS      0 3  7 13  0.097  1.648   29 -0.040   31 -0.052   26 -0.050   30 0.4516    9  1.251    9  0.219   26 -0.319 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       3 1 13 10 -0.120  1.764    4  0.038    4  0.024    5  0.038    4 0.5288   19  1.049   18  0.054   12  0.023 P
BRUINS         3 1 13  9 -0.076  1.842    5  0.035    5  0.022    7  0.029    6 0.5235   22  1.006   20 -0.006   10  0.065 P
LIGHTNING      1 2 11 13  0.002  1.489   18 -0.008   18 -0.015   11  0.016   18 0.4975    4  1.389    2  0.473   29 -0.441 P
MAPLE LEAFS    1 2 10 11 -0.098  1.366   19 -0.013   19 -0.021   12  0.007   19 0.4924    8  1.255    8  0.282   24 -0.267 P
CANADIENS      2 1 10  8 -0.106  1.372   13  0.006   14 -0.003   22 -0.024   14 0.5047   18  1.055   19 -0.002   15 -0.047 P
RED WINGS      2 1 10 10  0.008  1.523   14  0.001   13  0.003   24 -0.033   13 0.5065   14  1.158   16  0.115   21 -0.182 P
SENATORS       1 2  8 14  0.095  1.645   23 -0.018   22 -0.022   28 -0.053   21 0.4842    5  1.336    7  0.330   28 -0.437 P
SABRES         0 3  2 10  0.199  1.789   30 -0.041   29 -0.051   30 -0.078   31 0.4507   28  0.686   28 -0.457    6  0.301 P

DIVISION               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      15 10 0.600    1  0.071
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 12 12 0.500    2  0.031
ATLANTIC DIVISION     13 13 0.500    3 -0.028
PACIFIC DIVISION       8 13 0.381    4 -0.106

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.001 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Oct 14 05:30:14 2025
games through: Mon Oct 13 2025

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