Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.007 47.252    2  0.277    2  0.270    1  0.360    2 0.5373   19  1.064    1  0.331    1  0.389
HURRICANES     66 31 346 269  0.016 49.319    1  0.311    1  0.316    2  0.246    1 0.5456   13  1.117    2  0.282    3  0.210
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.015 45.276    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.200    4 0.5259   17  1.082    6  0.192    4  0.207
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.526    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.279   10  0.089
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.206    6  0.157    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5208   21  1.054   12  0.106    5  0.189
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.021 47.527    7  0.089    7  0.090    6  0.146    7 0.5128   10  1.125    7  0.191    9  0.101
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.276    5  0.164    5  0.148    7  0.117    5 0.5225    9  1.136    8  0.177   13  0.058
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.816   13  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   12  1.119    9  0.149   11  0.073
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 52 48 331 296 -0.003 50.224   12  0.029   12  0.031    9  0.102   13 0.5046   18  1.078   14  0.089    8  0.114
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.002 41.268    9  0.036   10  0.033   10  0.083    9 0.5064   15  1.108   11  0.107   12  0.059
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.535   18 -0.001   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.277   25 -0.130
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.317    8  0.065    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5115   16  1.104   13  0.091   14  0.050
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 44.101   16  0.015   16  0.009   13  0.041   17 0.5008   14  1.117   15  0.076   18  0.006
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.452   11  0.031   11  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5054   31  0.916   24 -0.178    2  0.222
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.041 43.015   21 -0.025   21 -0.048   15  0.013   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.234   27 -0.209
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.673   19 -0.005   20 -0.019   16 -0.015   19 0.4984   20  1.060   19 -0.048   15  0.019
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.001 41.518   10  0.034    9  0.035   17 -0.033   10 0.5064   29  0.948   25 -0.198    7  0.132
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.005 41.682   17  0.007   17  0.000   18 -0.056   16 0.5008   22  1.036   21 -0.118   17  0.006
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.025 40.736   24 -0.078   24 -0.096   19 -0.071   24 0.4853   23  1.027   22 -0.143   19  0.002
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.842   26 -0.127   26 -0.133   20 -0.072   25 0.4807   25  1.016   23 -0.159   16  0.014
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.812   20 -0.006   18 -0.018   21 -0.088   20 0.4981    6  1.193   17  0.044   28 -0.219
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.010 43.278   29 -0.163   29 -0.163   22 -0.088   29 0.4759   32  0.848   31 -0.364    6  0.187
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.062   23 -0.054   23 -0.073   23 -0.103   23 0.4888   11  1.121   20 -0.063   26 -0.144
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.022 46.854   15  0.016   15  0.016   24 -0.110   15 0.5016    1  1.275   10  0.130   31 -0.349
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.900   14  0.021   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5042   27  0.996   27 -0.229   20 -0.010
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.015 41.148   25 -0.123   25 -0.129   26 -0.126   26 0.4802   24  1.022   26 -0.205   23 -0.047
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.027 40.757   28 -0.160   28 -0.159   27 -0.145   28 0.4762   26  0.997   28 -0.253   22 -0.037
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.904   30 -0.177   30 -0.174   28 -0.150   30 0.4748    4  1.241   16  0.044   30 -0.344
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.029 40.748   22 -0.045   22 -0.061   29 -0.178   22 0.4909    5  1.214   18 -0.020   29 -0.336
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.023 40.941   27 -0.158   27 -0.156   30 -0.196   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.379   21 -0.012
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.020 41.080   31 -0.241   31 -0.252   31 -0.230   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.352   24 -0.108
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.025 41.114   32 -0.314   32 -0.335   32 -0.395   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.306   32 -0.484

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 52 48 331 296 -0.003 50.224   12  0.029   12  0.031    9  0.102   13 0.5046   18  1.078   14  0.089    8  0.114
OILERS         43 45 303 295 -0.041 43.015   21 -0.025   21 -0.048   15  0.013   21 0.4940    2  1.262    5  0.234   27 -0.209
KINGS          35 51 230 260 -0.010 43.278   29 -0.163   29 -0.163   22 -0.088   29 0.4759   32  0.848   31 -0.364    6  0.187
DUCKS          49 45 312 330 -0.022 46.854   15  0.016   15  0.016   24 -0.110   15 0.5016    1  1.275   10  0.130   31 -0.349
KRAKEN         34 48 226 263 -0.027 40.757   28 -0.160   28 -0.159   27 -0.145   28 0.4762   26  0.997   28 -0.253   22 -0.037
SHARKS         39 43 251 292 -0.029 40.748   22 -0.045   22 -0.061   29 -0.178   22 0.4909    5  1.214   18 -0.020   29 -0.336
FLAMES         34 48 212 259 -0.023 40.941   27 -0.158   27 -0.156   30 -0.196   27 0.4766   30  0.931   32 -0.379   21 -0.012
CANUCKS        25 57 216 316 -0.025 41.114   32 -0.314   32 -0.335   32 -0.395   32 0.4498    8  1.160   29 -0.306   32 -0.484

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE      63 32 346 240 -0.007 47.252    2  0.277    2  0.270    1  0.360    2 0.5373   19  1.064    1  0.331    1  0.389
STARS          52 36 294 249 -0.002 44.206    6  0.157    6  0.144    5  0.147    6 0.5208   21  1.054   12  0.106    5  0.189
WILD           51 42 313 279  0.021 47.527    7  0.089    7  0.090    6  0.146    7 0.5128   10  1.125    7  0.191    9  0.101
MAMMOTH        45 43 286 263 -0.009 44.101   16  0.015   16  0.009   13  0.041   17 0.5008   14  1.117   15  0.076   18  0.006
BLUES          37 45 231 258 -0.025 40.736   24 -0.078   24 -0.096   19 -0.071   24 0.4853   23  1.027   22 -0.143   19  0.002
PREDATORS      38 44 247 269 -0.017 41.062   23 -0.054   23 -0.073   23 -0.103   23 0.4888   11  1.121   20 -0.063   26 -0.144
JETS           35 47 231 260 -0.015 41.148   25 -0.123   25 -0.129   26 -0.126   26 0.4802   24  1.022   26 -0.205   23 -0.047
BLACKHAWKS     29 53 213 275 -0.020 41.080   31 -0.241   31 -0.252   31 -0.230   31 0.4619   28  0.985   30 -0.352   24 -0.108

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES     66 31 346 269  0.016 49.319    1  0.311    1  0.316    2  0.246    1 0.5456   13  1.117    2  0.282    3  0.210
CAPITALS       43 39 263 244 -0.002 41.268    9  0.036   10  0.033   10  0.083    9 0.5064   15  1.108   11  0.107   12  0.059
PENGUINS       43 45 304 284  0.004 44.535   18 -0.001   19 -0.019   11  0.073   18 0.4985    3  1.248    4  0.277   25 -0.130
FLYERS         47 45 271 267  0.026 47.452   11  0.031   11  0.032   14  0.022   12 0.5054   31  0.916   24 -0.178    2  0.222
BLUE JACKETS   40 42 253 253  0.006 41.673   19 -0.005   20 -0.019   16 -0.015   19 0.4984   20  1.060   19 -0.048   15  0.019
ISLANDERS      43 39 233 241  0.001 41.518   10  0.034    9  0.035   17 -0.033   10 0.5064   29  0.948   25 -0.198    7  0.132
RANGERS        34 48 238 250  0.009 41.842   26 -0.127   26 -0.133   20 -0.072   25 0.4807   25  1.016   23 -0.159   16  0.014
DEVILS         42 40 230 254  0.009 41.900   14  0.021   14  0.021   25 -0.120   14 0.5042   27  0.996   27 -0.229   20 -0.010

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      53 36 305 247  0.015 45.276    4  0.189    4  0.163    3  0.200    4 0.5259   17  1.082    6  0.192    4  0.207
SABRES         57 38 331 280  0.019 48.526    3  0.209    3  0.179    4  0.184    3 0.5273    7  1.164    3  0.279   10  0.089
CANADIENS      57 44 337 312  0.060 53.276    5  0.164    5  0.148    7  0.117    5 0.5225    9  1.136    8  0.177   13  0.058
SENATORS       44 42 283 257  0.014 43.816   13  0.028   13  0.025    8  0.111   11 0.5055   12  1.119    9  0.149   11  0.073
BRUINS         47 41 284 270  0.026 45.317    8  0.065    8  0.069   12  0.070    8 0.5115   16  1.104   13  0.091   14  0.050
RED WINGS      41 41 241 258  0.005 41.682   17  0.007   17  0.000   18 -0.056   16 0.5008   22  1.036   21 -0.118   17  0.006
PANTHERS       40 42 251 276  0.007 41.812   20 -0.006   18 -0.018   21 -0.088   20 0.4981    6  1.193   17  0.044   28 -0.219
MAPLE LEAFS    32 50 253 299  0.008 41.904   30 -0.177   30 -0.174   28 -0.150   30 0.4748    4  1.241   16  0.044   30 -0.344

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     371 334 0.526    1  0.067
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 358 329 0.521    2  0.032
CENTRAL DIVISION      350 342 0.506    3  0.027
PACIFIC DIVISION      311 385 0.447    4 -0.166

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.046 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Jun  5 05:30:12 2026
games through: Thu Jun  4 2026

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