Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          15 19  88  90  0.017 17.518   22 -0.030   22 -0.037   10  0.012   22 0.4859   32  0.677   32 -0.414    1  0.438
WILD           22 14 114  91 -0.003 18.079    4  0.072    4  0.078    3  0.121    4 0.5251   29  0.902   23 -0.072    2  0.313
RANGERS        18 19  96 100  0.010 19.078   17 -0.005   16 -0.007   24 -0.050   17 0.4977   31  0.745   31 -0.409    3  0.309
AVALANCHE      25  9 136  79 -0.006 16.876    1  0.189    1  0.162    1  0.268    1 0.5592   18  1.065    2  0.264    4  0.272
ISLANDERS      19 17 105 103  0.061 19.167    9  0.028    8  0.038    7  0.032    9 0.5138   27  0.945   25 -0.112    5  0.176
CAPITALS       19 16 112  93  0.005 17.753   10  0.027   11  0.031    4  0.099   11 0.5113   23  1.013   16  0.033    6  0.165
FLYERS         17 17 103  99 -0.004 17.238   14  0.002   14 -0.002   11  0.009   14 0.5014   28  0.944   27 -0.137    7  0.154
KRAKEN         13 20  83 104 -0.022 16.651   30 -0.075   30 -0.079   30 -0.092   30 0.4716   30  0.861   30 -0.329    8  0.145
LIGHTNING      19 16 113  94  0.031 18.128    8  0.030    9  0.038    5  0.086    8 0.5151   19  1.049   13  0.063    9  0.110
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 16 17 100  98  0.001 16.767   16 -0.005   18 -0.011    8  0.028   15 0.4996   24  1.001   21 -0.051   10  0.108
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DEVILS         20 15 101 105  0.045 18.473    5  0.054    5  0.064   16 -0.005    5 0.5228   25  0.976   26 -0.114   11  0.103
STARS          24 12 128  96  0.000 18.099    2  0.127    2  0.120    2  0.137    2 0.5406   16  1.100    4  0.176   12  0.098
FLAMES         15 21  97 108 -0.051 17.683   29 -0.068   29 -0.075   27 -0.071   29 0.4735   26  0.957   29 -0.201   13  0.059
MAMMOTH        17 20 112 108 -0.006 18.738   21 -0.025   21 -0.031   15  0.000   21 0.4913   22  1.023   22 -0.053   14  0.054
HURRICANES     22 13 119 101  0.026 18.053    3  0.096    3  0.098    6  0.078    3 0.5344   15  1.119    9  0.140   15  0.017
BLACKHAWKS     13 22  98 111 -0.044 17.283   31 -0.106   31 -0.104   25 -0.062   31 0.4650   20  1.041   24 -0.094   16 -0.029
JETS           15 19 100 103  0.005 17.437   23 -0.034   23 -0.040   20 -0.030   24 0.4847   17  1.086   20 -0.008   17 -0.052
PENGUINS       14 20 103 110 -0.035 16.852   28 -0.064   28 -0.071   18 -0.020   28 0.4759   14  1.120   15  0.044   18 -0.084
BLUES          14 23  94 127 -0.055 18.162   32 -0.112   32 -0.106   32 -0.121   32 0.4648   21  1.038   28 -0.157   19 -0.086
BRUINS         20 16 118 114  0.024 18.629    7  0.037    7  0.047    9  0.027    7 0.5173    8  1.177    8  0.162   20 -0.107
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS        15 20 101 117  0.014 18.163   24 -0.041   24 -0.046   28 -0.074   23 0.4849   13  1.130   17  0.001   21 -0.149
SENATORS       17 17 111 108 -0.012 17.134   15  0.000   15 -0.004   12  0.003   16 0.4983    5  1.196    7  0.163   22 -0.157
PREDATORS      14 20  98 118  0.017 17.701   25 -0.051   25 -0.056   29 -0.082   26 0.4788   12  1.134   19 -0.001   23 -0.164
PANTHERS       19 16 112 112  0.010 17.954   11  0.027   10  0.032   14  0.001   10 0.5114    4  1.207    5  0.174   24 -0.173
MAPLE LEAFS    15 19 108 113 -0.066 16.447   26 -0.052   26 -0.060   21 -0.039   25 0.4793    7  1.179   10  0.098   25 -0.177
SABRES         16 18 106 114 -0.002 17.367   19 -0.017   19 -0.022   23 -0.048   20 0.4926    9  1.174   12  0.083   26 -0.179
RED WINGS      20 16 113 117 -0.065 17.432   12  0.017   12  0.021   22 -0.043   12 0.5082    6  1.181   11  0.096   27 -0.183
BLUE JACKETS   14 21 105 124  0.016 18.190   27 -0.063   27 -0.066   31 -0.093   27 0.4782   11  1.144   18 -0.001   28 -0.186
SHARKS         17 19 107 122  0.039 19.015   18 -0.006   17 -0.008   26 -0.069   18 0.4965   10  1.170   14  0.056   29 -0.195
CANADIENS      19 16 114 118 -0.042 17.246   13  0.015   13  0.018   19 -0.021   13 0.5025    3  1.220    6  0.169   30 -0.211
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS         17 19 121 124 -0.004 18.266   20 -0.017   20 -0.023   17 -0.005   19 0.4944    2  1.272    3  0.254   31 -0.264
DUCKS          21 15 128 123  0.006 18.408    6  0.051    6  0.061   13  0.002    6 0.5214    1  1.331    1  0.340   32 -0.336

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS          15 19  88  90  0.017 17.518   22 -0.030   22 -0.037   10  0.012   22 0.4859   32  0.677   32 -0.414    1  0.438
KRAKEN         13 20  83 104 -0.022 16.651   30 -0.075   30 -0.079   30 -0.092   30 0.4716   30  0.861   30 -0.329    8  0.145
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 16 17 100  98  0.001 16.767   16 -0.005   18 -0.011    8  0.028   15 0.4996   24  1.001   21 -0.051   10  0.108
FLAMES         15 21  97 108 -0.051 17.683   29 -0.068   29 -0.075   27 -0.071   29 0.4735   26  0.957   29 -0.201   13  0.059
CANUCKS        15 20 101 117  0.014 18.163   24 -0.041   24 -0.046   28 -0.074   23 0.4849   13  1.130   17  0.001   21 -0.149
SHARKS         17 19 107 122  0.039 19.015   18 -0.006   17 -0.008   26 -0.069   18 0.4965   10  1.170   14  0.056   29 -0.195
OILERS         17 19 121 124 -0.004 18.266   20 -0.017   20 -0.023   17 -0.005   19 0.4944    2  1.272    3  0.254   31 -0.264
DUCKS          21 15 128 123  0.006 18.408    6  0.051    6  0.061   13  0.002    6 0.5214    1  1.331    1  0.340   32 -0.336

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WILD           22 14 114  91 -0.003 18.079    4  0.072    4  0.078    3  0.121    4 0.5251   29  0.902   23 -0.072    2  0.313
AVALANCHE      25  9 136  79 -0.006 16.876    1  0.189    1  0.162    1  0.268    1 0.5592   18  1.065    2  0.264    4  0.272
STARS          24 12 128  96  0.000 18.099    2  0.127    2  0.120    2  0.137    2 0.5406   16  1.100    4  0.176   12  0.098
MAMMOTH        17 20 112 108 -0.006 18.738   21 -0.025   21 -0.031   15  0.000   21 0.4913   22  1.023   22 -0.053   14  0.054
BLACKHAWKS     13 22  98 111 -0.044 17.283   31 -0.106   31 -0.104   25 -0.062   31 0.4650   20  1.041   24 -0.094   16 -0.029
JETS           15 19 100 103  0.005 17.437   23 -0.034   23 -0.040   20 -0.030   24 0.4847   17  1.086   20 -0.008   17 -0.052
BLUES          14 23  94 127 -0.055 18.162   32 -0.112   32 -0.106   32 -0.121   32 0.4648   21  1.038   28 -0.157   19 -0.086
PREDATORS      14 20  98 118  0.017 17.701   25 -0.051   25 -0.056   29 -0.082   26 0.4788   12  1.134   19 -0.001   23 -0.164

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS        18 19  96 100  0.010 19.078   17 -0.005   16 -0.007   24 -0.050   17 0.4977   31  0.745   31 -0.409    3  0.309
ISLANDERS      19 17 105 103  0.061 19.167    9  0.028    8  0.038    7  0.032    9 0.5138   27  0.945   25 -0.112    5  0.176
CAPITALS       19 16 112  93  0.005 17.753   10  0.027   11  0.031    4  0.099   11 0.5113   23  1.013   16  0.033    6  0.165
FLYERS         17 17 103  99 -0.004 17.238   14  0.002   14 -0.002   11  0.009   14 0.5014   28  0.944   27 -0.137    7  0.154
DEVILS         20 15 101 105  0.045 18.473    5  0.054    5  0.064   16 -0.005    5 0.5228   25  0.976   26 -0.114   11  0.103
HURRICANES     22 13 119 101  0.026 18.053    3  0.096    3  0.098    6  0.078    3 0.5344   15  1.119    9  0.140   15  0.017
PENGUINS       14 20 103 110 -0.035 16.852   28 -0.064   28 -0.071   18 -0.020   28 0.4759   14  1.120   15  0.044   18 -0.084
BLUE JACKETS   14 21 105 124  0.016 18.190   27 -0.063   27 -0.066   31 -0.093   27 0.4782   11  1.144   18 -0.001   28 -0.186

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING      19 16 113  94  0.031 18.128    8  0.030    9  0.038    5  0.086    8 0.5151   19  1.049   13  0.063    9  0.110
BRUINS         20 16 118 114  0.024 18.629    7  0.037    7  0.047    9  0.027    7 0.5173    8  1.177    8  0.162   20 -0.107
SENATORS       17 17 111 108 -0.012 17.134   15  0.000   15 -0.004   12  0.003   16 0.4983    5  1.196    7  0.163   22 -0.157
PANTHERS       19 16 112 112  0.010 17.954   11  0.027   10  0.032   14  0.001   10 0.5114    4  1.207    5  0.174   24 -0.173
MAPLE LEAFS    15 19 108 113 -0.066 16.447   26 -0.052   26 -0.060   21 -0.039   25 0.4793    7  1.179   10  0.098   25 -0.177
SABRES         16 18 106 114 -0.002 17.367   19 -0.017   19 -0.022   23 -0.048   20 0.4926    9  1.174   12  0.083   26 -0.179
RED WINGS      20 16 113 117 -0.065 17.432   12  0.017   12  0.021   22 -0.043   12 0.5082    6  1.181   11  0.096   27 -0.183
CANADIENS      19 16 114 118 -0.042 17.246   13  0.015   13  0.018   19 -0.021   13 0.5025    3  1.220    6  0.169   30 -0.211

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      144 139 0.509    1  0.074
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 143 138 0.509    2  0.017
ATLANTIC DIVISION     145 134 0.520    3 -0.011
PACIFIC DIVISION      129 150 0.462    4 -0.087

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.041 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Dec 21 05:32:19 2025
games through: Sat Dec 20 2025

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