Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        44 31 269 198  0.004 37.338    8  0.158    9  0.149    3  0.292    8 0.5216   11  1.134    1  0.379    6  0.204
CAPITALS         48 27 271 204  0.010 37.551    3  0.245    3  0.244    4  0.269    3 0.5348    9  1.144    2  0.369    9  0.170
SABRES           32 42 244 263 -0.009 37.120   25 -0.120   25 -0.120   22 -0.095   24 0.4834    1  1.350    3  0.276   31 -0.467
STARS            50 25 259 190  0.007 37.362    2  0.284    2  0.293    2  0.295    2 0.5399   17  1.041    4  0.269    3  0.320
AVALANCHE        47 30 261 216 -0.008 38.207    6  0.192    6  0.184    7  0.162    6 0.5256   10  1.138    5  0.255   14  0.069
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   45 30 252 202  0.002 37.396    7  0.182    7  0.173    5  0.226    7 0.5241   14  1.081    6  0.249    7  0.203
JETS             52 24 261 177  0.007 37.814    1  0.312    1  0.322    1  0.343    1 0.5446   28  0.947    7  0.209    1  0.477
BLUE JACKETS     34 40 245 253 -0.001 37.316   19 -0.060   19 -0.068   18 -0.062   19 0.4899    2  1.267    8  0.198   28 -0.322
MAPLE LEAFS      46 29 245 221 -0.004 37.472    5  0.198    5  0.192   12  0.077    5 0.5269    8  1.144    9  0.177   20 -0.023
HURRICANES       46 28 243 197  0.000 36.915    4  0.215    4  0.209    6  0.192    4 0.5287   16  1.046   10  0.173    5  0.211
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OILERS           44 31 242 219 -0.004 37.474   10  0.147   10  0.147   11  0.079   10 0.5203   13  1.100   11  0.125   15  0.034
PANTHERS         44 31 237 204  0.002 37.572    9  0.153    8  0.150   10  0.126    9 0.5211   20  1.008   12  0.062    8  0.190
CANADIENS        36 39 227 249  0.012 38.171   16 -0.019   16 -0.024   17 -0.055   16 0.4967    6  1.152   13  0.056   24 -0.165
RANGERS          36 39 229 226 -0.014 37.236   18 -0.035   18 -0.045   14  0.031   18 0.4942   15  1.081   14  0.054   16  0.009
BLUES            42 35 236 217 -0.006 38.414   12  0.066   13  0.074   13  0.071   12 0.5102   21  1.006   15  0.005   12  0.137
KRAKEN           32 44 229 245 -0.013 38.048   26 -0.150   26 -0.146   24 -0.112   26 0.4800    7  1.147   16 -0.008   26 -0.216
DEVILS           40 36 227 201  0.023 38.710   15  0.052   15  0.059    9  0.133   15 0.5087   30  0.916   17 -0.036    4  0.302
PENGUINS         30 46 222 279  0.003 38.712   29 -0.189   29 -0.179   29 -0.241   29 0.4755    3  1.204   18 -0.063   29 -0.418
KINGS            43 32 223 189  0.002 37.530   11  0.124   11  0.125    8  0.144   11 0.5173   31  0.871   19 -0.075    2  0.362
SENATORS         40 35 215 215  0.011 38.074   14  0.055   14  0.065   15  0.013   14 0.5093   27  0.951   20 -0.117   11  0.143
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLYERS           31 45 217 263  0.001 38.583   27 -0.165   27 -0.157   28 -0.195   27 0.4782   12  1.124   21 -0.120   27 -0.271
CANUCKS          34 41 213 234 -0.011 37.520   22 -0.082   21 -0.088   20 -0.071   22 0.4875   19  1.021   22 -0.120   19 -0.022
RED WINGS        34 40 211 234 -0.020 36.821   20 -0.076   20 -0.082   23 -0.105   20 0.4885   18  1.041   23 -0.131   21 -0.079
BLACKHAWKS       21 54 203 272 -0.004 38.064   31 -0.378   31 -0.382   31 -0.279   31 0.4466    4  1.180   24 -0.134   30 -0.425
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 34 42 214 233  0.003 38.462   21 -0.081   22 -0.088   21 -0.076   21 0.4877   23  0.993   25 -0.158   17  0.006
WILD             41 35 208 219  0.009 38.542   13  0.063   12  0.076   16 -0.027   13 0.5102   29  0.922   26 -0.190   13  0.136
DUCKS            33 42 206 237 -0.009 37.741   23 -0.105   23 -0.106   26 -0.146   23 0.4844   22  1.006   27 -0.212   22 -0.080
ISLANDERS        32 42 203 229 -0.008 37.207   24 -0.119   24 -0.119   25 -0.119   25 0.4833   26  0.976   28 -0.220   18 -0.018
SHARKS           20 55 195 285 -0.004 38.248   32 -0.408   32 -0.408   32 -0.356   32 0.4434    5  1.159   29 -0.236   32 -0.475
BRUINS           30 46 197 252  0.010 38.838   28 -0.184   28 -0.176   27 -0.195   28 0.4763   24  0.992   30 -0.277   23 -0.113
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FLAMES           36 39 198 220 -0.004 37.751   17 -0.028   17 -0.035   19 -0.070   17 0.4948   32  0.864   31 -0.297   10  0.157
PREDATORS        27 49 191 250  0.006 38.871   30 -0.246   30 -0.245   30 -0.250   30 0.4659   25  0.991   32 -0.335   25 -0.166

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   45 30 252 202  0.002 37.396    7  0.182    7  0.173    5  0.226    7 0.5241   14  1.081    6  0.249    7  0.203
OILERS           44 31 242 219 -0.004 37.474   10  0.147   10  0.147   11  0.079   10 0.5203   13  1.100   11  0.125   15  0.034
KRAKEN           32 44 229 245 -0.013 38.048   26 -0.150   26 -0.146   24 -0.112   26 0.4800    7  1.147   16 -0.008   26 -0.216
KINGS            43 32 223 189  0.002 37.530   11  0.124   11  0.125    8  0.144   11 0.5173   31  0.871   19 -0.075    2  0.362
CANUCKS          34 41 213 234 -0.011 37.520   22 -0.082   21 -0.088   20 -0.071   22 0.4875   19  1.021   22 -0.120   19 -0.022
DUCKS            33 42 206 237 -0.009 37.741   23 -0.105   23 -0.106   26 -0.146   23 0.4844   22  1.006   27 -0.212   22 -0.080
SHARKS           20 55 195 285 -0.004 38.248   32 -0.408   32 -0.408   32 -0.356   32 0.4434    5  1.159   29 -0.236   32 -0.475
FLAMES           36 39 198 220 -0.004 37.751   17 -0.028   17 -0.035   19 -0.070   17 0.4948   32  0.864   31 -0.297   10  0.157

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STARS            50 25 259 190  0.007 37.362    2  0.284    2  0.293    2  0.295    2 0.5399   17  1.041    4  0.269    3  0.320
AVALANCHE        47 30 261 216 -0.008 38.207    6  0.192    6  0.184    7  0.162    6 0.5256   10  1.138    5  0.255   14  0.069
JETS             52 24 261 177  0.007 37.814    1  0.312    1  0.322    1  0.343    1 0.5446   28  0.947    7  0.209    1  0.477
BLUES            42 35 236 217 -0.006 38.414   12  0.066   13  0.074   13  0.071   12 0.5102   21  1.006   15  0.005   12  0.137
BLACKHAWKS       21 54 203 272 -0.004 38.064   31 -0.378   31 -0.382   31 -0.279   31 0.4466    4  1.180   24 -0.134   30 -0.425
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 34 42 214 233  0.003 38.462   21 -0.081   22 -0.088   21 -0.076   21 0.4877   23  0.993   25 -0.158   17  0.006
WILD             41 35 208 219  0.009 38.542   13  0.063   12  0.076   16 -0.027   13 0.5102   29  0.922   26 -0.190   13  0.136
PREDATORS        27 49 191 250  0.006 38.871   30 -0.246   30 -0.245   30 -0.250   30 0.4659   25  0.991   32 -0.335   25 -0.166

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         48 27 271 204  0.010 37.551    3  0.245    3  0.244    4  0.269    3 0.5348    9  1.144    2  0.369    9  0.170
BLUE JACKETS     34 40 245 253 -0.001 37.316   19 -0.060   19 -0.068   18 -0.062   19 0.4899    2  1.267    8  0.198   28 -0.322
HURRICANES       46 28 243 197  0.000 36.915    4  0.215    4  0.209    6  0.192    4 0.5287   16  1.046   10  0.173    5  0.211
RANGERS          36 39 229 226 -0.014 37.236   18 -0.035   18 -0.045   14  0.031   18 0.4942   15  1.081   14  0.054   16  0.009
DEVILS           40 36 227 201  0.023 38.710   15  0.052   15  0.059    9  0.133   15 0.5087   30  0.916   17 -0.036    4  0.302
PENGUINS         30 46 222 279  0.003 38.712   29 -0.189   29 -0.179   29 -0.241   29 0.4755    3  1.204   18 -0.063   29 -0.418
FLYERS           31 45 217 263  0.001 38.583   27 -0.165   27 -0.157   28 -0.195   27 0.4782   12  1.124   21 -0.120   27 -0.271
ISLANDERS        32 42 203 229 -0.008 37.207   24 -0.119   24 -0.119   25 -0.119   25 0.4833   26  0.976   28 -0.220   18 -0.018

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        44 31 269 198  0.004 37.338    8  0.158    9  0.149    3  0.292    8 0.5216   11  1.134    1  0.379    6  0.204
SABRES           32 42 244 263 -0.009 37.120   25 -0.120   25 -0.120   22 -0.095   24 0.4834    1  1.350    3  0.276   31 -0.467
MAPLE LEAFS      46 29 245 221 -0.004 37.472    5  0.198    5  0.192   12  0.077    5 0.5269    8  1.144    9  0.177   20 -0.023
PANTHERS         44 31 237 204  0.002 37.572    9  0.153    8  0.150   10  0.126    9 0.5211   20  1.008   12  0.062    8  0.190
CANADIENS        36 39 227 249  0.012 38.171   16 -0.019   16 -0.024   17 -0.055   16 0.4967    6  1.152   13  0.056   24 -0.165
SENATORS         40 35 215 215  0.011 38.074   14  0.055   14  0.065   15  0.013   14 0.5093   27  0.951   20 -0.117   11  0.143
RED WINGS        34 40 211 234 -0.020 36.821   20 -0.076   20 -0.082   23 -0.105   20 0.4885   18  1.041   23 -0.131   21 -0.079
BRUINS           30 46 197 252  0.010 38.838   28 -0.184   28 -0.176   27 -0.195   28 0.4763   24  0.992   30 -0.277   23 -0.113

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      314 294 0.516    1  0.039
ATLANTIC DIVISION     306 293 0.511    2  0.009
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 297 303 0.495    3  0.001
PACIFIC DIVISION      287 314 0.478    4 -0.049

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.132 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.014 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Apr  4 05:30:08 2025
games through: Thu Apr  3 2025

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.