Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.293   11  0.082   11  0.086    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.135    1  0.316    9  0.157
CAPITALS         56 33 310 247 -0.012 43.785    3  0.219    3  0.207    3  0.198    3 0.5300   12  1.115    2  0.252   10  0.143
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.012 44.684    7  0.158    8  0.146    6  0.157    7 0.5215    6  1.144    3  0.248   15  0.066
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.007 40.937   23 -0.094   23 -0.106   23 -0.089   23 0.4846    1  1.322    4  0.234   31 -0.411
STARS            55 35 301 250  0.011 45.063    4  0.207    4  0.192    5  0.183    4 0.5276   15  1.086    5  0.203    7  0.164
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 36 299 247 -0.010 44.383    6  0.178    6  0.162    4  0.188    6 0.5242   16  1.076    6  0.196    5  0.181
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.005 40.905   17 -0.012   17 -0.024   16 -0.014   17 0.4965    2  1.225    7  0.180   27 -0.208
OILERS           54 36 295 266  0.011 45.236    5  0.187    5  0.175   12  0.090    5 0.5246   10  1.137    8  0.172   17  0.007
MAPLE LEAFS      58 32 296 254  0.001 44.852    2  0.242    2  0.242    9  0.121    2 0.5351   14  1.091    9  0.146   14  0.097
JETS             60 30 300 221  0.009 44.844    1  0.274    1  0.286    1  0.270    1 0.5403   29  0.957   10  0.138    1  0.403
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HURRICANES       52 37 288 248  0.009 44.629    8  0.157    7  0.146    8  0.138    8 0.5206   17  1.067   11  0.135   11  0.142
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.007 40.760   20 -0.028   20 -0.047   15  0.022   20 0.4932    8  1.141   12  0.108   21 -0.065
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.026 45.208   12  0.053   13  0.061   11  0.107   13 0.5094   19  1.052   13  0.085   12  0.129
PANTHERS         51 38 278 244  0.023 45.116    9  0.144    9  0.136   10  0.120    9 0.5191   24  1.001   14  0.038    4  0.203
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.652   10  0.106   10  0.108    7  0.143   10 0.5166   27  0.962   15  0.017    2  0.270
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.012 40.832   26 -0.126   26 -0.131   24 -0.109   26 0.4810    7  1.143   16 -0.019   26 -0.199
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.013 44.091   18 -0.024   18 -0.041   20 -0.057   18 0.4948   13  1.097   17 -0.025   23 -0.089
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.006 41.162   27 -0.147   27 -0.145   29 -0.200   27 0.4786    3  1.193   18 -0.047   29 -0.354
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.004 40.998   21 -0.045   21 -0.065   19 -0.044   21 0.4907   22  1.032   19 -0.090   18  0.003
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.004 44.124   14  0.047   14  0.057   14  0.035   12 0.5096   28  0.961   20 -0.093    8  0.163
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.001 41.126   19 -0.028   19 -0.043   22 -0.079   19 0.4940   18  1.057   21 -0.095   20 -0.062
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.007 43.693   15  0.000   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.933   22 -0.108    3  0.212
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.007 41.131   29 -0.171   29 -0.166   28 -0.197   29 0.4757    9  1.140   23 -0.111   28 -0.284
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.016 40.617   22 -0.053   22 -0.072   21 -0.059   22 0.4893   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.012
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.008 41.204   31 -0.307   31 -0.328   31 -0.259   31 0.4522    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.381
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.011 44.482   13  0.052   12  0.064   17 -0.025   14 0.5090   30  0.941   26 -0.176   13  0.125
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.002 41.351   28 -0.165   28 -0.162   26 -0.161   28 0.4766   20  1.037   27 -0.201   24 -0.121
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.009 40.948   25 -0.122   25 -0.126   25 -0.131   25 0.4813   25  0.994   28 -0.221   19 -0.040
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.016 40.577   16 -0.003   16 -0.012   18 -0.039   16 0.4980   32  0.882   29 -0.256    6  0.178
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.003 41.222   24 -0.118   24 -0.124   27 -0.166   24 0.4820   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.072
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.009 41.380   32 -0.440   32 -0.434   32 -0.379   32 0.4374    5  1.150   31 -0.281   32 -0.477
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.002 41.389   30 -0.225   30 -0.224   30 -0.238   30 0.4673   21  1.032   32 -0.283   25 -0.193

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   54 36 299 247 -0.010 44.383    6  0.178    6  0.162    4  0.188    6 0.5242   16  1.076    6  0.196    5  0.181
OILERS           54 36 295 266  0.011 45.236    5  0.187    5  0.175   12  0.090    5 0.5246   10  1.137    8  0.172   17  0.007
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.004 43.652   10  0.106   10  0.108    7  0.143   10 0.5166   27  0.962   15  0.017    2  0.270
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.012 40.832   26 -0.126   26 -0.131   24 -0.109   26 0.4810    7  1.143   16 -0.019   26 -0.199
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.016 40.617   22 -0.053   22 -0.072   21 -0.059   22 0.4893   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.012
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.016 40.577   16 -0.003   16 -0.012   18 -0.039   16 0.4980   32  0.882   29 -0.256    6  0.178
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.003 41.222   24 -0.118   24 -0.124   27 -0.166   24 0.4820   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.072
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.009 41.380   32 -0.440   32 -0.434   32 -0.379   32 0.4374    5  1.150   31 -0.281   32 -0.477

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.012 44.684    7  0.158    8  0.146    6  0.157    7 0.5215    6  1.144    3  0.248   15  0.066
STARS            55 35 301 250  0.011 45.063    4  0.207    4  0.192    5  0.183    4 0.5276   15  1.086    5  0.203    7  0.164
JETS             60 30 300 221  0.009 44.844    1  0.274    1  0.286    1  0.270    1 0.5403   29  0.957   10  0.138    1  0.403
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.026 45.208   12  0.053   13  0.061   11  0.107   13 0.5094   19  1.052   13  0.085   12  0.129
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.004 40.998   21 -0.045   21 -0.065   19 -0.044   21 0.4907   22  1.032   19 -0.090   18  0.003
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.008 41.204   31 -0.307   31 -0.328   31 -0.259   31 0.4522    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.381
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.011 44.482   13  0.052   12  0.064   17 -0.025   14 0.5090   30  0.941   26 -0.176   13  0.125
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.002 41.389   30 -0.225   30 -0.224   30 -0.238   30 0.4673   21  1.032   32 -0.283   25 -0.193

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 33 310 247 -0.012 43.785    3  0.219    3  0.207    3  0.198    3 0.5300   12  1.115    2  0.252   10  0.143
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.005 40.905   17 -0.012   17 -0.024   16 -0.014   17 0.4965    2  1.225    7  0.180   27 -0.208
HURRICANES       52 37 288 248  0.009 44.629    8  0.157    7  0.146    8  0.138    8 0.5206   17  1.067   11  0.135   11  0.142
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.007 40.760   20 -0.028   20 -0.047   15  0.022   20 0.4932    8  1.141   12  0.108   21 -0.065
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.006 41.162   27 -0.147   27 -0.145   29 -0.200   27 0.4786    3  1.193   18 -0.047   29 -0.354
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.007 43.693   15  0.000   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.933   22 -0.108    3  0.212
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.007 41.131   29 -0.171   29 -0.166   28 -0.197   29 0.4757    9  1.140   23 -0.111   28 -0.284
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.009 40.948   25 -0.122   25 -0.126   25 -0.131   25 0.4813   25  0.994   28 -0.221   19 -0.040

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.293   11  0.082   11  0.086    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.135    1  0.316    9  0.157
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.007 40.937   23 -0.094   23 -0.106   23 -0.089   23 0.4846    1  1.322    4  0.234   31 -0.411
MAPLE LEAFS      58 32 296 254  0.001 44.852    2  0.242    2  0.242    9  0.121    2 0.5351   14  1.091    9  0.146   14  0.097
PANTHERS         51 38 278 244  0.023 45.116    9  0.144    9  0.136   10  0.120    9 0.5191   24  1.001   14  0.038    4  0.203
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.013 44.091   18 -0.024   18 -0.041   20 -0.057   18 0.4948   13  1.097   17 -0.025   23 -0.089
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.004 44.124   14  0.047   14  0.057   14  0.035   12 0.5096   28  0.961   20 -0.093    8  0.163
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.001 41.126   19 -0.028   19 -0.043   22 -0.079   19 0.4940   18  1.057   21 -0.095   20 -0.062
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.002 41.351   28 -0.165   28 -0.162   26 -0.161   28 0.4766   20  1.037   27 -0.201   24 -0.121

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      354 338 0.512    1  0.026
ATLANTIC DIVISION     353 334 0.514    2  0.022
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 332 343 0.492    3 -0.021
PACIFIC DIVISION      327 351 0.482    4 -0.054

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.140 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri May  9 05:30:17 2025
games through: Thu May  8 2025

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