Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES           33 42 247 265 -0.004 37.711   23 -0.099   23 -0.102   22 -0.088   23 0.4855    1  1.339    3  0.269   31 -0.444
BLUE JACKETS     34 41 245 258  0.001 37.862   22 -0.071   21 -0.077   21 -0.082   21 0.4889    2  1.259    9  0.167   28 -0.332
PENGUINS         31 46 227 282  0.009 39.342   28 -0.167   27 -0.159   29 -0.224   28 0.4781    3  1.216   18 -0.031   29 -0.417
BLACKHAWKS       21 55 206 277 -0.001 38.641   31 -0.379   31 -0.383   31 -0.278   31 0.4460    4  1.185   23 -0.125   30 -0.431
SHARKS           20 56 196 290 -0.008 38.613   32 -0.414   32 -0.412   32 -0.368   32 0.4421    5  1.156   30 -0.252   32 -0.485
AVALANCHE        47 31 265 221 -0.006 38.716    7  0.178    7  0.170    7  0.156    7 0.5239    6  1.152    4  0.267   14  0.046
CAPITALS         49 27 276 207  0.005 37.828    3  0.248    3  0.247    4  0.267    3 0.5350    7  1.150    1  0.375   11  0.158
CANADIENS        37 39 230 251  0.007 38.495   16 -0.014   16 -0.015   17 -0.052   16 0.4980    8  1.147   12  0.053   24 -0.157
KRAKEN           33 44 234 246 -0.018 38.303   26 -0.137   26 -0.136   24 -0.097   26 0.4810    9  1.145   16  0.005   26 -0.200
MAPLE LEAFS      47 29 250 221 -0.006 37.837    4  0.203    4  0.197   11  0.096    4 0.5280   10  1.136    8  0.187   17  0.006
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        44 32 271 201  0.006 37.854    8  0.143    9  0.135    2  0.285    8 0.5198   11  1.121    2  0.357    5  0.212
FLYERS           31 46 219 266  0.002 39.079   29 -0.171   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4771   12  1.118   24 -0.126   27 -0.264
OILERS           44 32 242 222  0.000 38.076   11  0.132   10  0.135   13  0.064   10 0.5188   13  1.090   11  0.098   15  0.031
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   46 30 255 204  0.001 37.822    5  0.189    5  0.179    5  0.223    5 0.5254   14  1.076    6  0.240    6  0.206
RANGERS          36 40 229 230 -0.009 37.865   18 -0.042   18 -0.052   15  0.015   18 0.4932   15  1.074   14  0.030   18 -0.001
HURRICANES       46 30 247 207 -0.002 37.850    6  0.186    6  0.178    6  0.160    6 0.5247   16  1.062   10  0.161   10  0.159
RED WINGS        35 40 216 237 -0.017 37.336   19 -0.062   19 -0.068   23 -0.094   19 0.4905   17  1.054   21 -0.103   21 -0.084
STARS            50 26 262 195  0.000 37.638    2  0.265    2  0.269    3  0.276    2 0.5372   18  1.053    5  0.266    4  0.287
CANUCKS          35 41 219 236 -0.015 37.832   21 -0.071   22 -0.077   18 -0.058   22 0.4888   19  1.032   20 -0.093   20 -0.023
BLUES            43 35 241 221 -0.006 38.862   12  0.072   12  0.084   12  0.073   12 0.5116   20  1.021   15  0.024   13  0.121
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DUCKS            33 43 208 243 -0.008 38.234   25 -0.114   25 -0.115   26 -0.158   25 0.4831   21  1.017   27 -0.211   23 -0.104
BRUINS           31 46 202 253  0.011 39.302   27 -0.166   28 -0.160   27 -0.174   27 0.4783   22  0.998   29 -0.249   22 -0.099
PANTHERS         44 32 237 207  0.005 38.136    9  0.138    8  0.137   10  0.109    9 0.5196   23  0.998   13  0.033    7  0.185
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 35 42 218 234  0.006 38.971   20 -0.066   20 -0.074   19 -0.059   20 0.4896   24  0.993   25 -0.141   16  0.022
PREDATORS        27 49 191 250  0.005 38.779   30 -0.243   30 -0.243   30 -0.249   30 0.4657   25  0.990   32 -0.334   25 -0.164
ISLANDERS        33 42 206 230 -0.010 37.574   24 -0.104   24 -0.106   25 -0.109   24 0.4851   26  0.972   28 -0.214   19 -0.003
JETS             52 25 262 181  0.007 38.310    1  0.295    1  0.304    1  0.323    1 0.5424   27  0.948    7  0.191    1  0.456
SENATORS         41 35 218 215  0.015 38.593   13  0.065   13  0.077   14  0.031   13 0.5111   28  0.941   22 -0.110    8  0.173
WILD             41 36 209 222  0.008 38.997   15  0.049   15  0.063   16 -0.036   15 0.5085   29  0.915   26 -0.206   12  0.133
DEVILS           41 36 231 201  0.021 39.070   14  0.058   14  0.067    9  0.148   14 0.5098   30  0.909   17 -0.029    3  0.325
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
KINGS            44 32 226 189  0.001 37.927   10  0.133   11  0.132    8  0.156   11 0.5186   31  0.857   19 -0.077    2  0.390
FLAMES           36 40 200 223 -0.001 38.271   17 -0.037   17 -0.044   20 -0.069   17 0.4934   32  0.857   31 -0.303    9  0.165

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SHARKS           20 56 196 290 -0.008 38.613   32 -0.414   32 -0.412   32 -0.368   32 0.4421    5  1.156   30 -0.252   32 -0.485
KRAKEN           33 44 234 246 -0.018 38.303   26 -0.137   26 -0.136   24 -0.097   26 0.4810    9  1.145   16  0.005   26 -0.200
OILERS           44 32 242 222  0.000 38.076   11  0.132   10  0.135   13  0.064   10 0.5188   13  1.090   11  0.098   15  0.031
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   46 30 255 204  0.001 37.822    5  0.189    5  0.179    5  0.223    5 0.5254   14  1.076    6  0.240    6  0.206
CANUCKS          35 41 219 236 -0.015 37.832   21 -0.071   22 -0.077   18 -0.058   22 0.4888   19  1.032   20 -0.093   20 -0.023
DUCKS            33 43 208 243 -0.008 38.234   25 -0.114   25 -0.115   26 -0.158   25 0.4831   21  1.017   27 -0.211   23 -0.104
KINGS            44 32 226 189  0.001 37.927   10  0.133   11  0.132    8  0.156   11 0.5186   31  0.857   19 -0.077    2  0.390
FLAMES           36 40 200 223 -0.001 38.271   17 -0.037   17 -0.044   20 -0.069   17 0.4934   32  0.857   31 -0.303    9  0.165

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       21 55 206 277 -0.001 38.641   31 -0.379   31 -0.383   31 -0.278   31 0.4460    4  1.185   23 -0.125   30 -0.431
AVALANCHE        47 31 265 221 -0.006 38.716    7  0.178    7  0.170    7  0.156    7 0.5239    6  1.152    4  0.267   14  0.046
STARS            50 26 262 195  0.000 37.638    2  0.265    2  0.269    3  0.276    2 0.5372   18  1.053    5  0.266    4  0.287
BLUES            43 35 241 221 -0.006 38.862   12  0.072   12  0.084   12  0.073   12 0.5116   20  1.021   15  0.024   13  0.121
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 35 42 218 234  0.006 38.971   20 -0.066   20 -0.074   19 -0.059   20 0.4896   24  0.993   25 -0.141   16  0.022
PREDATORS        27 49 191 250  0.005 38.779   30 -0.243   30 -0.243   30 -0.249   30 0.4657   25  0.990   32 -0.334   25 -0.164
JETS             52 25 262 181  0.007 38.310    1  0.295    1  0.304    1  0.323    1 0.5424   27  0.948    7  0.191    1  0.456
WILD             41 36 209 222  0.008 38.997   15  0.049   15  0.063   16 -0.036   15 0.5085   29  0.915   26 -0.206   12  0.133

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JACKETS     34 41 245 258  0.001 37.862   22 -0.071   21 -0.077   21 -0.082   21 0.4889    2  1.259    9  0.167   28 -0.332
PENGUINS         31 46 227 282  0.009 39.342   28 -0.167   27 -0.159   29 -0.224   28 0.4781    3  1.216   18 -0.031   29 -0.417
CAPITALS         49 27 276 207  0.005 37.828    3  0.248    3  0.247    4  0.267    3 0.5350    7  1.150    1  0.375   11  0.158
FLYERS           31 46 219 266  0.002 39.079   29 -0.171   29 -0.164   28 -0.195   29 0.4771   12  1.118   24 -0.126   27 -0.264
RANGERS          36 40 229 230 -0.009 37.865   18 -0.042   18 -0.052   15  0.015   18 0.4932   15  1.074   14  0.030   18 -0.001
HURRICANES       46 30 247 207 -0.002 37.850    6  0.186    6  0.178    6  0.160    6 0.5247   16  1.062   10  0.161   10  0.159
ISLANDERS        33 42 206 230 -0.010 37.574   24 -0.104   24 -0.106   25 -0.109   24 0.4851   26  0.972   28 -0.214   19 -0.003
DEVILS           41 36 231 201  0.021 39.070   14  0.058   14  0.067    9  0.148   14 0.5098   30  0.909   17 -0.029    3  0.325

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SABRES           33 42 247 265 -0.004 37.711   23 -0.099   23 -0.102   22 -0.088   23 0.4855    1  1.339    3  0.269   31 -0.444
CANADIENS        37 39 230 251  0.007 38.495   16 -0.014   16 -0.015   17 -0.052   16 0.4980    8  1.147   12  0.053   24 -0.157
MAPLE LEAFS      47 29 250 221 -0.006 37.837    4  0.203    4  0.197   11  0.096    4 0.5280   10  1.136    8  0.187   17  0.006
LIGHTNING        44 32 271 201  0.006 37.854    8  0.143    9  0.135    2  0.285    8 0.5198   11  1.121    2  0.357    5  0.212
RED WINGS        35 40 216 237 -0.017 37.336   19 -0.062   19 -0.068   23 -0.094   19 0.4905   17  1.054   21 -0.103   21 -0.084
BRUINS           31 46 202 253  0.011 39.302   27 -0.166   28 -0.160   27 -0.174   27 0.4783   22  0.998   29 -0.249   22 -0.099
PANTHERS         44 32 237 207  0.005 38.136    9  0.138    8  0.137   10  0.109    9 0.5196   23  0.998   13  0.033    7  0.185
SENATORS         41 35 218 215  0.015 38.593   13  0.065   13  0.077   14  0.031   13 0.5111   28  0.941   22 -0.110    8  0.173

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      316 299 0.514    1  0.034
ATLANTIC DIVISION     312 295 0.514    2  0.018
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 301 308 0.494    3 -0.003
PACIFIC DIVISION      291 318 0.478    4 -0.050

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.141 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Apr  6 05:30:13 2025
games through: Sat Apr  5 2025

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