Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma City           29  8 2936 2637  0.624    1  1.636    1  1.307    2  1.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 21.979    4  1.552    9  0.867
Carroll MT              28  5 2614 2231  0.359    2  1.610    2  1.276    3  1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 21.927   11  1.090    2  1.248
Robert Morris-Chicago   29  4 3133 2410  0.287    3  1.584    3  1.245    1  1.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 22.029    1  2.683   37  0.179
Mountain St             28  4 3001 2271  0.267    4  1.558    4  1.214    5  1.134    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 21.854    3  1.905   30  0.363
Oklahoma Baptist U.     30  7 3007 2596  0.374    5  1.532    5  1.197    7  0.956    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 21.525    5  1.391   21  0.522
Azusa Pacific           30  6 3009 2496  0.343    6  1.531    6  1.196    6  1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 21.587    6  1.389   17  0.688
Union TN                28  6 2823 2503  0.315    7  1.512    7  1.175   10  0.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 21.455    8  1.248   32  0.325
Georgetown KY           26  8 2828 2192  0.386    8  1.270    8  0.964    4  1.167    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 21.019    7  1.262    7  1.072
Campbellsville          27  8 2582 2289  0.099    9  1.188    9  0.916   17  0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 20.539   41  0.309    8  0.874
Trevecca Nazarene       26  7 2609 2367  0.131   10  1.166   10  0.893   24  0.519    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 20.484   19  0.785   35  0.253
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Westminster UT          22  8 2424 2127  0.310   11  1.092   11  0.845    8  0.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 20.512   12  1.061   16  0.688
San Diego Christian     22 10 2345 2181  0.395   12  1.089   12  0.843   20  0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 20.266   34  0.346   13  0.768
Oklahoma Christian      22 11 2407 2123  0.460   13  1.059   13  0.810    9  0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 20.277   32  0.395    3  1.213
Wayland Baptist         19 12 2332 2208  0.585   14  1.056   14  0.807   11  0.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 20.196   16  0.916   19  0.592
LSU-Shreveport          29  6 3434 2909 -0.181   15  0.973   15  0.731   19  0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 19.917    2  2.369   81 -1.252
Houston Baptist         27  7 2891 2480 -0.044   16  0.967   16  0.726   14  0.663    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 19.928    9  1.176   39  0.149
Texas Wesleyan          26 11 2978 2648  0.253   17  0.939   17  0.693   13  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 19.858   17  0.882   23  0.502
Point Loma Nazarene     17 12 2222 2180  0.492   18  0.911   18  0.665   22  0.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 19.625   13  1.010   41  0.095
Lambuth                 23  9 2515 2278  0.014   19  0.883   19  0.633   36  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 19.422   24  0.534   47 -0.023
Lindsey Wilson          24 10 2539 2141  0.156   20  0.851   20  0.613   12  0.719    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 19.591   42  0.283    5  1.155
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Vanguard                20 13 2419 2324  0.319   21  0.760   21  0.568   28  0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 19.247   28  0.458   25  0.494
Olivet Nazarene         22 12 2624 2387  0.139   22  0.699   22  0.497   30  0.440    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 19.049   29  0.445   26  0.435
St Xavier               21 13 2594 2336  0.192   23  0.612   23  0.422   29  0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 18.763   33  0.391   24  0.502
Southern Wesleyan       19 14 2432 2420  0.221   24  0.608   25  0.418   37  0.221    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 18.569   38  0.336   40  0.105
Cumberlands KY          19  9 2148 1734  0.109   25  0.607   24  0.418   15  0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 18.833   46  0.157    6  1.083
Missouri Baptist        21  9 2428 2314 -0.151   26  0.603   26  0.413   51 -0.080    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 18.446   23  0.605   68 -0.765
Lee TN                  23 10 2476 2289 -0.028   27  0.595   27  0.405   32  0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 18.670   30  0.421   29  0.371
Southern Nazarene       18 12 2280 1960  0.276   28  0.584   28  0.395   16  0.609    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 18.745   26  0.509   15  0.709
Concordia CA            16 14 2368 2232  0.360   29  0.555   29  0.366   18  0.573    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 18.520   10  1.142   46  0.005
John Brown              16 15 2186 2076  0.390   30  0.506   30  0.343   25  0.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 18.368   35  0.341   18  0.686
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Westmont                17 13 2149 2138  0.170   31  0.505   31  0.342   42  0.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 18.094   48  0.095   43  0.070
Voorhees                21  5 2213 2024 -0.673   32  0.500   32  0.335   54 -0.147    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.912   27  0.484   69 -0.779
Science & Arts OK       13 17 2092 2230  0.506   33  0.494   33  0.332   38  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 18.039   36  0.339   44  0.030
Southern Tech           20 10 2390 2100 -0.050   34  0.483   34  0.319   26  0.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 18.337   22  0.689   33  0.323
Auburn Montgomery       16 10 1898 1757  0.085   35  0.470   35  0.306   21  0.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 18.256   37  0.336   12  0.770
Biola                   19 12 2286 2019  0.109   36  0.470   36  0.306   23  0.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 18.262   43  0.281   11  0.783
Spring Hill             22 10 2517 2318 -0.252   37  0.455   37  0.288   40  0.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.970   40  0.321   50 -0.117
Columbia MO             23  9 2471 2020 -0.236   38  0.436   38  0.263   27  0.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 18.070   44  0.175   10  0.807
NW Oklahoma St          17 14 2041 1888  0.200   39  0.419   39  0.243   33  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.889   64 -0.384    4  1.167
Fresno Pacific          14 13 1882 1858  0.058   40  0.311   40  0.133   48  0.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 17.241   61 -0.294   31  0.343
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lewis-Clark St ID       18 11 2038 1696 -0.051   41  0.289   41  0.114   31  0.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.476   76 -0.732    1  1.557
Montana St-Northern     17 14 2198 2221 -0.082   42  0.267   42  0.104   60 -0.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 17.019   74 -0.634   42  0.084
Georgia Southwestern    19 12 2279 2088 -0.178   43  0.247   43  0.083   39  0.170    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 17.235   55 -0.095   27  0.434
Lyon                    15 14 2004 2029  0.021   44  0.243   44  0.079   50 -0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 17.035   70 -0.560   28  0.434
Mobile                  20  8 2176 1838 -0.458   45  0.235   45  0.069   43  0.072    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 17.210   56 -0.100   36  0.244
St Francis IL           12 12 1779 1846  0.042   46  0.227   46  0.061   52 -0.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.882   49  0.088   54 -0.257
Illinois-Springfield    20 13 2716 2578 -0.225   47  0.225   47  0.059   49 -0.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 16.932   18  0.843   75 -0.937
Crichton                18 12 2501 2325 -0.164   48  0.211   48  0.044   41  0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 17.075   20  0.722   60 -0.545
Rocky Mountain          16 16 2666 2636  0.055   49  0.201   49  0.032   45  0.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.874   15  0.978   72 -0.867
Faulkner                14 12 1998 1875 -0.027   50  0.189   50  0.019   35  0.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 16.992   25  0.521   45  0.015
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas-Permian Basin     20 11 2416 2315 -0.456   51  0.179   51  0.006   62 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 16.629   51  0.009   61 -0.606
Brescia                 15 14 1872 1891 -0.085   52  0.166   52 -0.009   57 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 16.600   82 -0.971   20  0.547
McKendree               16 13 2142 2050 -0.159   53  0.154   53 -0.024   44  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 16.627   53 -0.053   38  0.179
The Master's College    12 17 2158 2204  0.207   54  0.129   54 -0.052   47  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 16.479   31  0.417   59 -0.364
California Baptist      13 16 2085 1921  0.190   55  0.083   55 -0.102   34  0.325    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 16.520   57 -0.117   14  0.767
Lubbock Christian        7 22 1866 2022  0.522   56 -0.003   56 -0.173   46  0.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 16.115   65 -0.411   22  0.512
Brewton-Parker          15 15 2028 2028 -0.218   57 -0.028   57 -0.193   63 -0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 15.938   81 -0.916   34  0.254
Berry                   12 18 2251 2364  0.038   58 -0.034   58 -0.199   61 -0.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 15.913   45  0.171   64 -0.723
Jarvis Christian        18 14 2468 2479 -0.460   59 -0.046   59 -0.210   66 -0.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.822   59 -0.156   65 -0.727
Montana-Western         13 20 2647 2769 -0.011   60 -0.099   60 -0.271   58 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 15.690   21  0.700   78 -1.125
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Belhaven                16 16 2281 2345 -0.418   61 -0.166   61 -0.322   67 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 15.437   69 -0.546   58 -0.359
Martin Methodist        15 17 2298 2307 -0.268   62 -0.174   62 -0.330   59 -0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 15.452   63 -0.346   48 -0.079
Emmanuel GA             13 17 2204 2206 -0.211   63 -0.197   63 -0.355   56 -0.198    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 15.441   58 -0.153   53 -0.243
Great Falls             11 18 2433 2495 -0.043   64 -0.215   64 -0.373   55 -0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 15.281   14  0.992   84 -1.347
Montana Tech             9 19 2019 2228 -0.043   65 -0.251   65 -0.411   68 -0.497    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 14.866   60 -0.241   67 -0.752
Freed-Hardeman          11 21 2406 2464  0.035   66 -0.288   66 -0.442   53 -0.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 15.093   47  0.131   57 -0.331
Reinhardt               11 19 2287 2459 -0.188   67 -0.307   67 -0.462   69 -0.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 14.739   39  0.327   83 -1.333
Park                     9 22 2046 2259  0.008   68 -0.361   68 -0.522   64 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 14.599   73 -0.632   52 -0.133
Texas College           13 16 2284 2324 -0.432   69 -0.373   70 -0.537   65 -0.413    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 14.603   50  0.045   73 -0.870
SW Assem of God         16 18 2548 2641 -0.538   70 -0.384   69 -0.529   73 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 14.534   66 -0.502   66 -0.739
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Purdue Calumet           6 13 1317 1473 -0.211   71 -0.430   71 -0.577   72 -0.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 14.192   67 -0.529   63 -0.695
Bacone                  10 13 1649 1781 -0.611   72 -0.453   72 -0.588   77 -0.821    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 14.054   78 -0.796   71 -0.845
St Gregory's             8 24 2030 2322 -0.027   73 -0.533   73 -0.672   71 -0.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 13.737   84 -0.991   51 -0.132
Wiley                    7 16 1712 1860 -0.353   74 -0.680   74 -0.792   74 -0.640    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 13.406   54 -0.083   80 -1.198
Hannibal-LaGrange        8 20 1828 1997 -0.279   75 -0.712   75 -0.820   70 -0.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 13.236   83 -0.985   49 -0.102
Shorter                  7 23 2150 2363 -0.174   76 -0.770   76 -0.861   76 -0.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 13.143   68 -0.537   74 -0.918
Huston-Tillotson         4 16 1270 1624 -0.290   77 -0.886   77 -0.907   84 -1.106    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 12.774   85 -1.251   76 -0.960
William Carey            7 22 2001 2363 -0.364   78 -0.906   78 -0.928   79 -1.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 12.783   80 -0.860   79 -1.154
Loyola NO                5 14 1202 1361 -0.500   79 -0.945   79 -0.976   78 -0.825    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 12.661   87 -1.387   55 -0.264
Cumberland TN            4 23 1865 2146 -0.162   80 -1.188   80 -1.142   75 -0.695    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 12.136   71 -0.581   70 -0.810
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morris SC                6 17 1671 1864 -0.715   81 -1.284   81 -1.220   86 -1.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 11.529   75 -0.723   88 -1.596
Tougaloo                 5 21 1638 2038 -0.601   82 -1.314   82 -1.258   90 -1.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 11.316   92 -1.977   77 -1.093
Edward Waters            3 19 1477 1774 -0.414   83 -1.361   83 -1.316   82 -1.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 11.286   79 -0.816   82 -1.272
Allen                    2 18 1397 1650 -0.320   84 -1.408   84 -1.376   80 -1.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 11.225   72 -0.608   85 -1.415
Pikeville                7 23 1880 2084 -0.712   85 -1.487   85 -1.408   81 -1.018    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 11.112   90 -1.756   56 -0.280
Southern-New Orleans     2 12  953 1193 -0.748   86 -1.499   86 -1.424   88 -1.500    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 10.842   86 -1.264   91 -1.737
Williams Baptist         6 20 1932 2109 -0.715   87 -1.501   87 -1.426   85 -1.142    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 11.042   77 -0.781   86 -1.502
Harris-Stowe St          3 24 2001 2338 -0.393   88 -1.514   88 -1.440   83 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 11.016   62 -0.321   92 -1.797
IU South Bend            3 24 1643 2054 -0.532   89 -1.648   89 -1.601   87 -1.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 10.381   91 -1.771   62 -0.689
Illinois Tech            1 24 1478 2133 -0.452   90 -1.719   90 -1.692   93 -1.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  9.914   93 -2.002   90 -1.658
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TAMU-Int'l               3 25 1853 2303 -0.684   91 -1.731   91 -1.712   89 -1.520    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 10.065   89 -1.490   87 -1.549
Hope Int'l               0 27 1685 2378 -0.116   92 -1.795   92 -1.772   91 -1.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  9.798   88 -1.486   89 -1.627
Paul Quinn               1 21 1731 2279 -0.586   93 -1.803   93 -1.785   92 -1.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  9.768   52 -0.020   93 -3.336


American Midwest: strength=-0.348 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Missouri Baptist        21  9 2428 2314 -0.151   26  0.603   26  0.413   51 -0.080    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 18.446   23  0.605   68 -0.765
Columbia MO             23  9 2471 2020 -0.236   38  0.436   38  0.263   27  0.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 18.070   44  0.175   10  0.807
Illinois-Springfield    20 13 2716 2578 -0.225   47  0.225   47  0.059   49 -0.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 16.932   18  0.843   75 -0.937
McKendree               16 13 2142 2050 -0.159   53  0.154   53 -0.024   44  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 16.627   53 -0.053   38  0.179
Hannibal-LaGrange        8 20 1828 1997 -0.279   75 -0.712   75 -0.820   70 -0.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 13.236   83 -0.985   49 -0.102
Williams Baptist         6 20 1932 2109 -0.715   87 -1.501   87 -1.426   85 -1.142    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 11.042   77 -0.781   86 -1.502
Harris-Stowe St          3 24 2001 2338 -0.393   88 -1.514   88 -1.440   83 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 11.016   62 -0.321   92 -1.797

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.215 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Robert Morris-Chicago   29  4 3133 2410  0.287    3  1.584    3  1.245    1  1.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 22.029    1  2.683   37  0.179
Olivet Nazarene         22 12 2624 2387  0.139   22  0.699   22  0.497   30  0.440    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 19.049   29  0.445   26  0.435
St Xavier               21 13 2594 2336  0.192   23  0.612   23  0.422   29  0.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 18.763   33  0.391   24  0.502
St Francis IL           12 12 1779 1846  0.042   46  0.227   46  0.061   52 -0.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.882   49  0.088   54 -0.257
Purdue Calumet           6 13 1317 1473 -0.211   71 -0.430   71 -0.577   72 -0.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 14.192   67 -0.529   63 -0.695
IU South Bend            3 24 1643 2054 -0.532   89 -1.648   89 -1.601   87 -1.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 10.381   91 -1.771   62 -0.689
Illinois Tech            1 24 1478 2133 -0.452   90 -1.719   90 -1.692   93 -1.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  9.914   93 -2.002   90 -1.658

Frontier: strength=0.185 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              28  5 2614 2231  0.359    2  1.610    2  1.276    3  1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 21.927   11  1.090    2  1.248
Westminster UT          22  8 2424 2127  0.310   11  1.092   11  0.845    8  0.874    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 20.512   12  1.061   16  0.688
Lewis-Clark St ID       18 11 2038 1696 -0.051   41  0.289   41  0.114   31  0.412    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.476   76 -0.732    1  1.557
Montana St-Northern     17 14 2198 2221 -0.082   42  0.267   42  0.104   60 -0.275    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 17.019   74 -0.634   42  0.084
Rocky Mountain          16 16 2666 2636  0.055   49  0.201   49  0.032   45  0.055    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.874   15  0.978   72 -0.867
Montana-Western         13 20 2647 2769 -0.011   60 -0.099   60 -0.271   58 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 15.690   21  0.700   78 -1.125
Great Falls             11 18 2433 2495 -0.043   64 -0.215   64 -0.373   55 -0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 15.281   14  0.992   84 -1.347
Montana Tech             9 19 2019 2228 -0.043   65 -0.251   65 -0.411   68 -0.497    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 14.866   60 -0.241   67 -0.752

Golden State AC: strength=0.335 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific           30  6 3009 2496  0.343    6  1.531    6  1.196    6  1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 21.587    6  1.389   17  0.688
San Diego Christian     22 10 2345 2181  0.395   12  1.089   12  0.843   20  0.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 20.266   34  0.346   13  0.768
Point Loma Nazarene     17 12 2222 2180  0.492   18  0.911   18  0.665   22  0.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 19.625   13  1.010   41  0.095
Vanguard                20 13 2419 2324  0.319   21  0.760   21  0.568   28  0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 19.247   28  0.458   25  0.494
Concordia CA            16 14 2368 2232  0.360   29  0.555   29  0.366   18  0.573    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 18.520   10  1.142   46  0.005
Westmont                17 13 2149 2138  0.170   31  0.505   31  0.342   42  0.083    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 18.094   48  0.095   43  0.070
Biola                   19 12 2286 2019  0.109   36  0.470   36  0.306   23  0.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 18.262   43  0.281   11  0.783
Fresno Pacific          14 13 1882 1858  0.058   40  0.311   40  0.133   48  0.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 17.241   61 -0.294   31  0.343
The Master's College    12 17 2158 2204  0.207   54  0.129   54 -0.052   47  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 16.479   31  0.417   59 -0.364
California Baptist      13 16 2085 1921  0.190   55  0.083   55 -0.102   34  0.325    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 16.520   57 -0.117   14  0.767
Hope Int'l               0 27 1685 2378 -0.116   92 -1.795   92 -1.772   91 -1.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  9.798   88 -1.486   89 -1.627

Gulf Coast AC: strength=-0.656 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LSU-Shreveport          29  6 3434 2909 -0.181   15  0.973   15  0.731   19  0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 19.917    2  2.369   81 -1.252
Spring Hill             22 10 2517 2318 -0.252   37  0.455   37  0.288   40  0.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.970   40  0.321   50 -0.117
Mobile                  20  8 2176 1838 -0.458   45  0.235   45  0.069   43  0.072    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 17.210   56 -0.100   36  0.244
Belhaven                16 16 2281 2345 -0.418   61 -0.166   61 -0.322   67 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 15.437   69 -0.546   58 -0.359
William Carey            7 22 2001 2363 -0.364   78 -0.906   78 -0.928   79 -1.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 12.783   80 -0.860   79 -1.154
Loyola NO                5 14 1202 1361 -0.500   79 -0.945   79 -0.976   78 -0.825    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 12.661   87 -1.387   55 -0.264
Tougaloo                 5 21 1638 2038 -0.601   82 -1.314   82 -1.258   90 -1.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 11.316   92 -1.977   77 -1.093
Southern-New Orleans     2 12  953 1193 -0.748   86 -1.499   86 -1.424   88 -1.500    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 10.842   86 -1.264   91 -1.737

Mid-South: strength=0.491 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY           26  8 2828 2192  0.386    8  1.270    8  0.964    4  1.167    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 21.019    7  1.262    7  1.072
Campbellsville          27  8 2582 2289  0.099    9  1.188    9  0.916   17  0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 20.539   41  0.309    8  0.874
Lambuth                 23  9 2515 2278  0.014   19  0.883   19  0.633   36  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 19.422   24  0.534   47 -0.023
Lindsey Wilson          24 10 2539 2141  0.156   20  0.851   20  0.613   12  0.719    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 19.591   42  0.283    5  1.155
Cumberlands KY          19  9 2148 1734  0.109   25  0.607   24  0.418   15  0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 18.833   46  0.157    6  1.083
Pikeville                7 23 1880 2084 -0.712   85 -1.487   85 -1.408   81 -1.018    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 11.112   90 -1.756   56 -0.280

Red River AC: strength=-0.621 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Houston Baptist         27  7 2891 2480 -0.044   16  0.967   16  0.726   14  0.663    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 19.928    9  1.176   39  0.149
Texas Wesleyan          26 11 2978 2648  0.253   17  0.939   17  0.693   13  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 19.858   17  0.882   23  0.502
Texas-Permian Basin     20 11 2416 2315 -0.456   51  0.179   51  0.006   62 -0.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 16.629   51  0.009   61 -0.606
Jarvis Christian        18 14 2468 2479 -0.460   59 -0.046   59 -0.210   66 -0.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.822   59 -0.156   65 -0.727
Langston                 7  9 1075 1059 -0.172      -0.081      -0.249      -0.071      0.0000      0.0000      15.881      -0.665       0.523
Texas College           13 16 2284 2324 -0.432   69 -0.373   70 -0.537   65 -0.413    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 14.603   50  0.045   73 -0.870
SW Assem of God         16 18 2548 2641 -0.538   70 -0.384   69 -0.529   73 -0.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 14.534   66 -0.502   66 -0.739
Bacone                  10 13 1649 1781 -0.611   72 -0.453   72 -0.588   77 -0.821    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 14.054   78 -0.796   71 -0.845
Wiley                    7 16 1712 1860 -0.353   74 -0.680   74 -0.792   74 -0.640    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 13.406   54 -0.083   80 -1.198
Huston-Tillotson         4 16 1270 1624 -0.290   77 -0.886   77 -0.907   84 -1.106    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 12.774   85 -1.251   76 -0.960
TAMU-Int'l               3 25 1853 2303 -0.684   91 -1.731   91 -1.712   89 -1.520    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 10.065   89 -1.490   87 -1.549
Paul Quinn               1 21 1731 2279 -0.586   93 -1.803   93 -1.785   92 -1.678    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  9.768   52 -0.020   93 -3.336

Sooner AC: strength=0.553 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma City           29  8 2936 2637  0.624    1  1.636    1  1.307    2  1.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 21.979    4  1.552    9  0.867
Oklahoma Baptist U.     30  7 3007 2596  0.374    5  1.532    5  1.197    7  0.956    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 21.525    5  1.391   21  0.522
Oklahoma Christian      22 11 2407 2123  0.460   13  1.059   13  0.810    9  0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 20.277   32  0.395    3  1.213
Wayland Baptist         19 12 2332 2208  0.585   14  1.056   14  0.807   11  0.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 20.196   16  0.916   19  0.592
Southern Nazarene       18 12 2280 1960  0.276   28  0.584   28  0.395   16  0.609    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 18.745   26  0.509   15  0.709
John Brown              16 15 2186 2076  0.390   30  0.506   30  0.343   25  0.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 18.368   35  0.341   18  0.686
Science & Arts OK       13 17 2092 2230  0.506   33  0.494   33  0.332   38  0.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 18.039   36  0.339   44  0.030
NW Oklahoma St          17 14 2041 1888  0.200   39  0.419   39  0.243   33  0.391    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.889   64 -0.384    4  1.167
Lubbock Christian        7 22 1866 2022  0.522   56 -0.003   56 -0.173   46  0.051    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 16.115   65 -0.411   22  0.512
St Gregory's             8 24 2030 2322 -0.027   73 -0.533   73 -0.672   71 -0.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 13.737   84 -0.991   51 -0.132

Southern States: strength=0.022 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Wesleyan       19 14 2432 2420  0.221   24  0.608   25  0.418   37  0.221    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 18.569   38  0.336   40  0.105
Lee TN                  23 10 2476 2289 -0.028   27  0.595   27  0.405   32  0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 18.670   30  0.421   29  0.371
Southern Tech           20 10 2390 2100 -0.050   34  0.483   34  0.319   26  0.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 18.337   22  0.689   33  0.323
Auburn Montgomery       16 10 1898 1757  0.085   35  0.470   35  0.306   21  0.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 18.256   37  0.336   12  0.770
Georgia Southwestern    19 12 2279 2088 -0.178   43  0.247   43  0.083   39  0.170    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 17.235   55 -0.095   27  0.434
Faulkner                14 12 1998 1875 -0.027   50  0.189   50  0.019   35  0.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 16.992   25  0.521   45  0.015
Brewton-Parker          15 15 2028 2028 -0.218   57 -0.028   57 -0.193   63 -0.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 15.938   81 -0.916   34  0.254
Berry                   12 18 2251 2364  0.038   58 -0.034   58 -0.199   61 -0.276    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 15.913   45  0.171   64 -0.723
Emmanuel GA             13 17 2204 2206 -0.211   63 -0.197   63 -0.355   56 -0.198    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 15.441   58 -0.153   53 -0.243
Reinhardt               11 19 2287 2459 -0.188   67 -0.307   67 -0.462   69 -0.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 14.739   39  0.327   83 -1.333
Shorter                  7 23 2150 2363 -0.174   76 -0.770   76 -0.861   76 -0.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 13.143   68 -0.537   74 -0.918

TranSouth AC: strength=0.059 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Union TN                28  6 2823 2503  0.315    7  1.512    7  1.175   10  0.786    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 21.455    8  1.248   32  0.325
Trevecca Nazarene       26  7 2609 2367  0.131   10  1.166   10  0.893   24  0.519    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 20.484   19  0.785   35  0.253
Lyon                    15 14 2004 2029  0.021   44  0.243   44  0.079   50 -0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 17.035   70 -0.560   28  0.434
Crichton                18 12 2501 2325 -0.164   48  0.211   48  0.044   41  0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 17.075   20  0.722   60 -0.545
Martin Methodist        15 17 2298 2307 -0.268   62 -0.174   62 -0.330   59 -0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 15.452   63 -0.346   48 -0.079
Freed-Hardeman          11 21 2406 2464  0.035   66 -0.288   66 -0.442   53 -0.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 15.093   47  0.131   57 -0.331
Cumberland TN            4 23 1865 2146 -0.162   80 -1.188   80 -1.142   75 -0.695    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 12.136   71 -0.581   70 -0.810

NAIA-I Independents: strength=-0.552 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mountain St             28  4 3001 2271  0.267    4  1.558    4  1.214    5  1.134    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 21.854    3  1.905   30  0.363
Voorhees                21  5 2213 2024 -0.673   32  0.500   32  0.335   54 -0.147    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.912   27  0.484   69 -0.779
Brescia                 15 14 1872 1891 -0.085   52  0.166   52 -0.009   57 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 16.600   82 -0.971   20  0.547
Park                     9 22 2046 2259  0.008   68 -0.361   68 -0.522   64 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 14.599   73 -0.632   52 -0.133
Morris SC                6 17 1671 1864 -0.715   81 -1.284   81 -1.220   86 -1.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 11.529   75 -0.723   88 -1.596
Edward Waters            3 19 1477 1774 -0.414   83 -1.361   83 -1.316   82 -1.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 11.286   79 -0.816   82 -1.272
Allen                    2 18 1397 1650 -0.320   84 -1.408   84 -1.376   80 -1.011    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 11.225   72 -0.608   85 -1.415

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Sooner AC               179 142 0.558    1  0.553
Mid-South               126  67 0.653    2  0.491
Golden State AC         180 153 0.541    3  0.335
Frontier                134 111 0.547    4  0.185
TranSouth AC            117 100 0.539    5  0.059
Southern States         169 160 0.514    6  0.022
Chicagoland-I CAC        94 102 0.480    7 -0.215
American Midwest         97 108 0.473    8 -0.348
NAIA-I Independents      84  99 0.459    9 -0.552
Red River AC            152 177 0.462   10 -0.621
Gulf Coast AC           106 109 0.493   11 -0.656

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.287 points in main ratings
     0.032 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:23:29 2019

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