Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LSU-Alexandria          34  3 3079 2529  0.108    1  1.708    1  1.357    1  1.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 21.979    8  0.937    3  1.193
The Master's College    27  6 2869 2493  0.253    2  1.447    2  1.097    2  0.942    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 20.802    2  1.622   22  0.262
William Penn            33  4 3414 2880 -0.089    3  1.393    3  1.036    4  0.823    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 20.682    1  1.658   31 -0.012
Biola                   25  6 2348 1947  0.187    4  1.272    4  0.950    7  0.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 20.450   48 -0.116    1  1.529
Carroll MT              29  6 2815 2355  0.068    5  1.241    5  0.910    3  0.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 20.351   14  0.689    5  1.024
Westmont                24  8 2667 2269  0.195    6  1.048    6  0.740    5  0.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 19.885    6  1.020   12  0.550
Dalton St               29  6 2854 2490 -0.188    7  1.024    7  0.711   15  0.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 19.657   22  0.465   15  0.417
Hope Int'l              23  8 2424 1962  0.186    8  1.020    8  0.707    6  0.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 19.798   33  0.104    2  1.459
Montana-Western         25  8 2883 2448 -0.007    9  0.932    9  0.649   12  0.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 19.390    4  1.058   34 -0.066
Texas Wesleyan          28  8 3064 2668 -0.055   10  0.922   10  0.639    9  0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 19.398   12  0.762   16  0.411
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville               28  8 2767 2327 -0.111   11  0.891   11  0.610   13  0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 19.251   55 -0.164    4  1.111
Stillman                21  5 2247 1836 -0.160   12  0.873   12  0.589    8  0.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 19.344   11  0.822   11  0.572
Life GA                 26 11 2888 2674  0.070   13  0.852   13  0.568   14  0.467    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 19.033   18  0.580   18  0.354
Columbia MO             27  6 2643 2187 -0.311   14  0.799   14  0.502   17  0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 18.874   34  0.095    9  0.586
Georgetown KY           24  8 2567 2211 -0.156   15  0.715   15  0.461   19  0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 18.712   31  0.157   14  0.454
Langston                24 11 2982 2696  0.046   16  0.697   16  0.441   10  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 18.700    9  0.915   25  0.202
Dillard                 25  8 2949 2549 -0.193   17  0.660   17  0.402   11  0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 18.627    3  1.279   45 -0.195
Cumberlands KY          22  9 2344 2039 -0.074   18  0.653   18  0.395   16  0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 18.619   53 -0.150    6  0.966
Wiley                   23 10 2585 2379 -0.161   19  0.618   19  0.359   33  0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 18.289   58 -0.244   17  0.384
William Carey           24  8 2750 2461 -0.304   20  0.616   20  0.357   22  0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 18.347   10  0.826   57 -0.471
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Assem of God         23 10 2623 2437 -0.231   21  0.545   21  0.278   28  0.101    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 17.802   42 -0.009   24  0.210
Park                    21  8 2264 2028 -0.307   22  0.538   22  0.270   27  0.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 17.864   36  0.045   26  0.166
Our Lady of the Lake    18 13 2660 2520  0.106   23  0.516   23  0.244   18  0.324    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 17.869    7  0.985   50 -0.337
Lewis-Clark St ID       23 11 2876 2404 -0.146   24  0.470   24  0.208   20  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 17.761   20  0.499   27  0.103
Lindsey Wilson          21 11 2495 2313 -0.256   25  0.458   25  0.196   40 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 17.546   47 -0.112   29  0.052
Benedictine KS          21 12 2417 2308 -0.145   26  0.453   26  0.189   42 -0.034    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 17.604   71 -0.660    8  0.592
Wayland Baptist         18 14 2723 2636  0.036   27  0.441   27  0.177   37  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 17.604   17  0.637   63 -0.533
Oklahoma City           21 11 2580 2485 -0.222   28  0.425   28  0.177   48 -0.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 17.484   45 -0.086   49 -0.328
William Jessup          17 14 2424 2401  0.070   29  0.396   29  0.168   24  0.142    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 17.539   23  0.449   40 -0.165
Arizona Christian       16 14 2229 2213  0.119   30  0.391   30  0.163   36  0.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 17.538   49 -0.118   23  0.236
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Martin Methodist        22 13 2767 2631 -0.149   31  0.389   31  0.160   25  0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 17.568   26  0.293   32 -0.015
Loyola NO               23 11 2593 2463 -0.331   32  0.381   32  0.153   41 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 17.461   54 -0.156   28  0.095
Mount Mercy             21 12 2778 2656 -0.202   33  0.360   33  0.130   29  0.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 17.397   16  0.643   56 -0.442
Science & Arts OK       19 16 3019 2960  0.040   34  0.358   34  0.128   23  0.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 17.424    5  1.030   70 -0.702
LSU-Shreveport          20 14 2858 2773 -0.108   35  0.347   35  0.117   31  0.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 17.361   15  0.646   58 -0.472
Graceland               20 13 2762 2622 -0.107   36  0.345   36  0.115   26  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 17.413   19  0.564   51 -0.338
Montana St-Northern     19 11 2259 1872 -0.197   37  0.307   37  0.078   34  0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.321   75 -0.783    7  0.920
Grand View              20 11 2637 2394 -0.252   38  0.307   38  0.078   35  0.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.311   21  0.480   52 -0.351
Talladega               22 11 2797 2600 -0.401   39  0.263   39  0.046   47 -0.171    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.092   24  0.398   72 -0.739
SW Christian            21 13 2742 2482 -0.243   40  0.240   40  0.018   21  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.096   38  0.020   19  0.351
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Central Baptist         23 16 3138 2979 -0.267   41  0.209   41  0.003   46 -0.147    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 16.829   28  0.241   64 -0.535
Harris-Stowe St         19 14 2479 2344 -0.202   42  0.180   42 -0.034   30  0.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 16.856   50 -0.127   21  0.316
William Woods           23 13 2755 2576 -0.434   43  0.156   43 -0.060   51 -0.228    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 16.551   60 -0.303   38 -0.152
MidAmerica Nazarene     17 15 2517 2495 -0.202   44  0.111   44 -0.108   52 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 16.429   51 -0.128   54 -0.361
Rocky Mountain          16 17 2566 2416 -0.023   45  0.102   45 -0.117   32  0.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 16.516   32  0.155   30  0.018
Freed-Hardeman          18 12 2369 2230 -0.400   46  0.010   46 -0.145   50 -0.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 16.394   46 -0.096   53 -0.355
Vanguard                15 14 2299 2191 -0.134   47 -0.001   47 -0.156   38  0.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 16.308   29  0.219   43 -0.185
Baker                   17 16 2592 2535 -0.202   48 -0.049   48 -0.179   44 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.183   37  0.020   39 -0.157
Central Methodist       17 15 2628 2494 -0.222   49 -0.052   49 -0.182   43 -0.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 16.218   27  0.257   55 -0.379
Faulkner                17 13 2284 2178 -0.401   50 -0.087   50 -0.223   49 -0.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.026   59 -0.294   37 -0.138
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Campbellsville          15 15 2339 2193 -0.210   51 -0.118   52 -0.252   39 -0.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 15.906   40 -0.001   33 -0.019
Cumberland TN           12 18 2169 2273 -0.006   52 -0.127   51 -0.248   53 -0.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 15.705   61 -0.442   42 -0.179
Bethel TN               18 15 2894 2776 -0.416   53 -0.155   53 -0.283   60 -0.399    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 15.485   13  0.699   86 -1.496
Peru St                 14 19 2622 2728 -0.154   54 -0.182   54 -0.317   62 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 15.336   43 -0.023   76 -0.850
Philander Smith         16 13 2333 2260 -0.483   55 -0.214   55 -0.345   54 -0.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 15.286   52 -0.148   59 -0.480
Missouri Valley         15 18 2642 2743 -0.272   56 -0.230   56 -0.361   64 -0.502    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 15.162   41 -0.007   78 -0.997
Blue Mountain           15 17 2015 2197 -0.393   57 -0.237   57 -0.369   72 -0.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.089   90 -1.751   20  0.334
Mid-America Christian   16 17 2835 2735 -0.332   58 -0.244   58 -0.376   57 -0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 15.213   25  0.294   79 -1.012
John Brown              15 18 2504 2526 -0.290   59 -0.291   59 -0.407   58 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 15.110   63 -0.453   48 -0.295
St Gregory's            10 17 2031 2184 -0.120   60 -0.316   60 -0.435   63 -0.475    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 14.855   62 -0.448   60 -0.502
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Evangel                 12 17 2241 2326 -0.275   61 -0.335   61 -0.455   61 -0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 14.830   57 -0.227   68 -0.605
Lyon                    16 16 2074 2028 -0.565   62 -0.389   62 -0.504   70 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 14.623   93 -1.890   10  0.580
Middle Georgia St       15 18 2566 2579 -0.395   63 -0.406   63 -0.524   59 -0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 14.720   56 -0.218   65 -0.555
Missouri Baptist        17 15 2594 2239 -0.497   64 -0.422   64 -0.540   45 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 14.810   44 -0.057   35 -0.080
Menlo                   10 19 1944 2059 -0.120   65 -0.434   65 -0.553   56 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 14.463   80 -1.118   13  0.458
Tougaloo                10 16 2094 2215 -0.278   66 -0.440   66 -0.560   66 -0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 14.416   30  0.162   84 -1.255
Jarvis Christian        13 17 2343 2293 -0.463   67 -0.536   67 -0.640   67 -0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 13.996   67 -0.589   61 -0.527
Great Falls             11 21 2268 2470 -0.383   68 -0.550   68 -0.656   78 -0.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 13.780   81 -1.119   71 -0.715
St Thomas TX            13 20 2491 2567 -0.317   69 -0.560   69 -0.666   55 -0.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 14.021   64 -0.455   44 -0.188
Edward Waters           13 21 2519 2666 -0.388   70 -0.572   70 -0.678   69 -0.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 13.864   68 -0.630   67 -0.598
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Huston-Tillotson         8 22 2203 2440 -0.110   71 -0.598   71 -0.698   68 -0.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 13.798   69 -0.649   62 -0.527
Lindenwood-Belleville   15 16 2631 2568 -0.758   72 -0.656   72 -0.746   76 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 13.636   39  0.008   88 -1.701
Xavier NO               10 22 2138 2353 -0.336   73 -0.712   73 -0.813   74 -0.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 13.405   87 -1.460   36 -0.099
San Diego Christian      6 23 1992 2363 -0.046   74 -0.721   74 -0.823   73 -0.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 13.298   73 -0.671   75 -0.820
Clarke IA               10 20 2284 2404 -0.430   75 -0.744   75 -0.833   71 -0.680    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 13.316   66 -0.586   74 -0.774
Williams Baptist        10 20 2172 2328 -0.505   76 -0.800   76 -0.861   75 -0.826    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 13.210   74 -0.782   77 -0.870
Shawnee St               8 19 1902 1967 -0.273   77 -0.808   77 -0.870   65 -0.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 13.326   76 -0.858   41 -0.168
U of the Southwest       9 20 2412 2652 -0.455   78 -0.832   78 -0.897   79 -0.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 12.978   35  0.045   90 -1.972
Voorhees                11 15 2065 2140 -0.888   79 -0.958   79 -1.016   82 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 12.533   70 -0.654   85 -1.444
Mobile                   9 22 2024 2212 -0.534   80 -0.974   80 -1.036   80 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 12.514   89 -1.743   46 -0.196
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bacone                   8 23 2369 2696 -0.500   81 -0.980   81 -1.043   83 -1.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 12.314   65 -0.546   87 -1.570
Brewton-Parker           8 22 2142 2475 -0.531   82 -0.999   82 -1.064   86 -1.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 12.302   79 -1.110   83 -1.248
Hannibal-LaGrange        8 22 2094 2268 -0.504   83 -1.030   83 -1.098   77 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 12.328   84 -1.224   66 -0.598
Texas College            7 23 2173 2488 -0.522   84 -1.131   84 -1.160   84 -1.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 11.678   82 -1.168   80 -1.028
Paul Quinn               5 26 2301 2792 -0.321   85 -1.200   85 -1.214   88 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 11.395   72 -0.670   89 -1.753
Avila                    5 26 2021 2475 -0.338   86 -1.203   86 -1.218   90 -1.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 11.349   91 -1.844   73 -0.771
Southern-New Orleans     4 21 1636 1940 -0.386   87 -1.243   87 -1.259   85 -1.144    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 11.366   88 -1.635   69 -0.654
Montana Tech             7 25 2079 2312 -0.550   88 -1.375   88 -1.354   81 -1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 11.066   92 -1.845   47 -0.206
Crowley's Ridge          9 21 2414 2729 -1.314   89 -1.579   89 -1.596   93 -1.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  9.917   78 -0.946   92 -2.730
Coastal Georgia          3 27 2129 2463 -0.530   90 -1.620   90 -1.643   87 -1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 10.100   83 -1.172   82 -1.206
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Culver-Stockton          1 31 2202 2647 -0.366   91 -1.800   91 -1.872   89 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  9.357   86 -1.356   81 -1.122
Fisk                     4 24 2120 2615 -1.052   92 -1.855   92 -1.928   92 -1.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  8.878   85 -1.300   91 -2.347
Morris SC                2 15 1350 1589 -1.307   93 -1.980   93 -2.067   91 -1.815    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  8.535   77 -0.870   93 -2.759
St Louis Pharmacy        0 24 1269 2319 -2.874   94 -2.916   94 -3.342   94 -4.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  4.816   94 -4.384   94 -3.696


AII-I: strength=-1.461 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Stillman                21  5 2247 1836 -0.160   12  0.873   12  0.589    8  0.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 19.344   11  0.822   11  0.572
Voorhees                11 15 2065 2140 -0.888   79 -0.958   79 -1.016   82 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 12.533   70 -0.654   85 -1.444
Crowley's Ridge          9 21 2414 2729 -1.314   89 -1.579   89 -1.596   93 -1.838    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  9.917   78 -0.946   92 -2.730
Fisk                     4 24 2120 2615 -1.052   92 -1.855   92 -1.928   92 -1.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  8.878   85 -1.300   91 -2.347
Morris SC                2 15 1350 1589 -1.307   93 -1.980   93 -2.067   91 -1.815    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  8.535   77 -0.870   93 -2.759

Amer Midwest: strength=-0.441 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Columbia MO             27  6 2643 2187 -0.311   14  0.799   14  0.502   17  0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 18.874   34  0.095    9  0.586
Park                    21  8 2264 2028 -0.307   22  0.538   22  0.270   27  0.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 17.864   36  0.045   26  0.166
Central Baptist         23 16 3138 2979 -0.267   41  0.209   41  0.003   46 -0.147    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 16.829   28  0.241   64 -0.535
Harris-Stowe St         19 14 2479 2344 -0.202   42  0.180   42 -0.034   30  0.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 16.856   50 -0.127   21  0.316
William Woods           23 13 2755 2576 -0.434   43  0.156   43 -0.060   51 -0.228    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 16.551   60 -0.303   38 -0.152
Freed-Hardeman          18 12 2369 2230 -0.400   46  0.010   46 -0.145   50 -0.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 16.394   46 -0.096   53 -0.355
Lyon                    16 16 2074 2028 -0.565   62 -0.389   62 -0.504   70 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 14.623   93 -1.890   10  0.580
Missouri Baptist        17 15 2594 2239 -0.497   64 -0.422   64 -0.540   45 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 14.810   44 -0.057   35 -0.080
Lindenwood-Belleville   15 16 2631 2568 -0.758   72 -0.656   72 -0.746   76 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 13.636   39  0.008   88 -1.701
Williams Baptist        10 20 2172 2328 -0.505   76 -0.800   76 -0.861   75 -0.826    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 13.210   74 -0.782   77 -0.870
Hannibal-LaGrange        8 22 2094 2268 -0.504   83 -1.030   83 -1.098   77 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 12.328   84 -1.224   66 -0.598
St Louis Pharmacy        0 24 1269 2319 -2.874   94 -2.916   94 -3.342   94 -4.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  4.816   94 -4.384   94 -3.696

Frontier: strength=0.056 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              29  6 2815 2355  0.068    5  1.241    5  0.910    3  0.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 20.351   14  0.689    5  1.024
Montana-Western         25  8 2883 2448 -0.007    9  0.932    9  0.649   12  0.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 19.390    4  1.058   34 -0.066
Lewis-Clark St ID       23 11 2876 2404 -0.146   24  0.470   24  0.208   20  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 17.761   20  0.499   27  0.103
Montana St-Northern     19 11 2259 1872 -0.197   37  0.307   37  0.078   34  0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.321   75 -0.783    7  0.920
Rocky Mountain          16 17 2566 2416 -0.023   45  0.102   45 -0.117   32  0.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 16.516   32  0.155   30  0.018
Great Falls             11 21 2268 2470 -0.383   68 -0.550   68 -0.656   78 -0.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 13.780   81 -1.119   71 -0.715
Montana Tech             7 25 2079 2312 -0.550   88 -1.375   88 -1.354   81 -1.026    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 11.066   92 -1.845   47 -0.206

Golden St: strength=0.330 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
The Master's College    27  6 2869 2493  0.253    2  1.447    2  1.097    2  0.942    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 20.802    2  1.622   22  0.262
Biola                   25  6 2348 1947  0.187    4  1.272    4  0.950    7  0.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 20.450   48 -0.116    1  1.529
Westmont                24  8 2667 2269  0.195    6  1.048    6  0.740    5  0.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 19.885    6  1.020   12  0.550
Hope Int'l              23  8 2424 1962  0.186    8  1.020    8  0.707    6  0.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 19.798   33  0.104    2  1.459
William Jessup          17 14 2424 2401  0.070   29  0.396   29  0.168   24  0.142    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 17.539   23  0.449   40 -0.165
Arizona Christian       16 14 2229 2213  0.119   30  0.391   30  0.163   36  0.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 17.538   49 -0.118   23  0.236
Vanguard                15 14 2299 2191 -0.134   47 -0.001   47 -0.156   38  0.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 16.308   29  0.219   43 -0.185
Menlo                   10 19 1944 2059 -0.120   65 -0.434   65 -0.553   56 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 14.463   80 -1.118   13  0.458
San Diego Christian      6 23 1992 2363 -0.046   74 -0.721   74 -0.823   73 -0.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 13.298   73 -0.671   75 -0.820

Gulf Coast: strength=-0.452 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dillard                 25  8 2949 2549 -0.193   17  0.660   17  0.402   11  0.542    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 18.627    3  1.279   45 -0.195
Talladega               22 11 2797 2600 -0.401   39  0.263   39  0.046   47 -0.171    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.092   24  0.398   72 -0.739
Philander Smith         16 13 2333 2260 -0.483   55 -0.214   55 -0.345   54 -0.314    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 15.286   52 -0.148   59 -0.480
Tougaloo                10 16 2094 2215 -0.278   66 -0.440   66 -0.560   66 -0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 14.416   30  0.162   84 -1.255
Edward Waters           13 21 2519 2666 -0.388   70 -0.572   70 -0.678   69 -0.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 13.864   68 -0.630   67 -0.598
Xavier NO               10 22 2138 2353 -0.336   73 -0.712   73 -0.813   74 -0.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 13.405   87 -1.460   36 -0.099
Southern-New Orleans     4 21 1636 1940 -0.386   87 -1.243   87 -1.259   85 -1.144    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 11.366   88 -1.635   69 -0.654

HAAC: strength=-0.260 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Penn            33  4 3414 2880 -0.089    3  1.393    3  1.036    4  0.823    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 20.682    1  1.658   31 -0.012
Benedictine KS          21 12 2417 2308 -0.145   26  0.453   26  0.189   42 -0.034    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 17.604   71 -0.660    8  0.592
Mount Mercy             21 12 2778 2656 -0.202   33  0.360   33  0.130   29  0.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 17.397   16  0.643   56 -0.442
Graceland               20 13 2762 2622 -0.107   36  0.345   36  0.115   26  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 17.413   19  0.564   51 -0.338
Grand View              20 11 2637 2394 -0.252   38  0.307   38  0.078   35  0.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.311   21  0.480   52 -0.351
MidAmerica Nazarene     17 15 2517 2495 -0.202   44  0.111   44 -0.108   52 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 16.429   51 -0.128   54 -0.361
Baker                   17 16 2592 2535 -0.202   48 -0.049   48 -0.179   44 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.183   37  0.020   39 -0.157
Central Methodist       17 15 2628 2494 -0.222   49 -0.052   49 -0.182   43 -0.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 16.218   27  0.257   55 -0.379
Peru St                 14 19 2622 2728 -0.154   54 -0.182   54 -0.317   62 -0.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 15.336   43 -0.023   76 -0.850
Missouri Valley         15 18 2642 2743 -0.272   56 -0.230   56 -0.361   64 -0.502    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 15.162   41 -0.007   78 -0.997
Evangel                 12 17 2241 2326 -0.275   61 -0.335   61 -0.455   61 -0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 14.830   57 -0.227   68 -0.605
Clarke IA               10 20 2284 2404 -0.430   75 -0.744   75 -0.833   71 -0.680    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 13.316   66 -0.586   74 -0.774
Avila                    5 26 2021 2475 -0.338   86 -1.203   86 -1.218   90 -1.308    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 11.349   91 -1.844   73 -0.771
Culver-Stockton          1 31 2202 2647 -0.366   91 -1.800   91 -1.872   89 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  9.357   86 -1.356   81 -1.122

Mid-South: strength=0.125 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville               28  8 2767 2327 -0.111   11  0.891   11  0.610   13  0.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 19.251   55 -0.164    4  1.111
Life GA                 26 11 2888 2674  0.070   13  0.852   13  0.568   14  0.467    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 19.033   18  0.580   18  0.354
Georgetown KY           24  8 2567 2211 -0.156   15  0.715   15  0.461   19  0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 18.712   31  0.157   14  0.454
Cumberlands KY          22  9 2344 2039 -0.074   18  0.653   18  0.395   16  0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 18.619   53 -0.150    6  0.966
Lindsey Wilson          21 11 2495 2313 -0.256   25  0.458   25  0.196   40 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 17.546   47 -0.112   29  0.052
Campbellsville          15 15 2339 2193 -0.210   51 -0.118   52 -0.252   39 -0.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 15.906   40 -0.001   33 -0.019
Cumberland TN           12 18 2169 2273 -0.006   52 -0.127   51 -0.248   53 -0.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 15.705   61 -0.442   42 -0.179
Shawnee St               8 19 1902 1967 -0.273   77 -0.808   77 -0.870   65 -0.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 13.326   76 -0.858   41 -0.168

Red River: strength=-0.266 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LSU-Alexandria          34  3 3079 2529  0.108    1  1.708    1  1.357    1  1.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 21.979    8  0.937    3  1.193
Langston                24 11 2982 2696  0.046   16  0.697   16  0.441   10  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 18.700    9  0.915   25  0.202
Wiley                   23 10 2585 2379 -0.161   19  0.618   19  0.359   33  0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 18.289   58 -0.244   17  0.384
Our Lady of the Lake    18 13 2660 2520  0.106   23  0.516   23  0.244   18  0.324    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 17.869    7  0.985   50 -0.337
LSU-Shreveport          20 14 2858 2773 -0.108   35  0.347   35  0.117   31  0.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 17.361   15  0.646   58 -0.472
Jarvis Christian        13 17 2343 2293 -0.463   67 -0.536   67 -0.640   67 -0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 13.996   67 -0.589   61 -0.527
St Thomas TX            13 20 2491 2567 -0.317   69 -0.560   69 -0.666   55 -0.322    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 14.021   64 -0.455   44 -0.188
Huston-Tillotson         8 22 2203 2440 -0.110   71 -0.598   71 -0.698   68 -0.588    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 13.798   69 -0.649   62 -0.527
U of the Southwest       9 20 2412 2652 -0.455   78 -0.832   78 -0.897   79 -0.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 12.978   35  0.045   90 -1.972
Texas College            7 23 2173 2488 -0.522   84 -1.131   84 -1.160   84 -1.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 11.678   82 -1.168   80 -1.028
Paul Quinn               5 26 2301 2792 -0.321   85 -1.200   85 -1.214   88 -1.211    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 11.395   72 -0.670   89 -1.753

Sooner: strength=-0.119 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas Wesleyan          28  8 3064 2668 -0.055   10  0.922   10  0.639    9  0.586    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 19.398   12  0.762   16  0.411
SW Assem of God         23 10 2623 2437 -0.231   21  0.545   21  0.278   28  0.101    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 17.802   42 -0.009   24  0.210
Wayland Baptist         18 14 2723 2636  0.036   27  0.441   27  0.177   37  0.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 17.604   17  0.637   63 -0.533
Oklahoma City           21 11 2580 2485 -0.222   28  0.425   28  0.177   48 -0.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 17.484   45 -0.086   49 -0.328
Science & Arts OK       19 16 3019 2960  0.040   34  0.358   34  0.128   23  0.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 17.424    5  1.030   70 -0.702
SW Christian            21 13 2742 2482 -0.243   40  0.240   40  0.018   21  0.186    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.096   38  0.020   19  0.351
Mid-America Christian   16 17 2835 2735 -0.332   58 -0.244   58 -0.376   57 -0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 15.213   25  0.294   79 -1.012
John Brown              15 18 2504 2526 -0.290   59 -0.291   59 -0.407   58 -0.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 15.110   63 -0.453   48 -0.295
St Gregory's            10 17 2031 2184 -0.120   60 -0.316   60 -0.435   63 -0.475    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 14.855   62 -0.448   60 -0.502
Bacone                   8 23 2369 2696 -0.500   81 -0.980   81 -1.043   83 -1.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 12.314   65 -0.546   87 -1.570

Southern Sts: strength=-0.388 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dalton St               29  6 2854 2490 -0.188    7  1.024    7  0.711   15  0.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 19.657   22  0.465   15  0.417
William Carey           24  8 2750 2461 -0.304   20  0.616   20  0.357   22  0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 18.347   10  0.826   57 -0.471
Martin Methodist        22 13 2767 2631 -0.149   31  0.389   31  0.160   25  0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 17.568   26  0.293   32 -0.015
Loyola NO               23 11 2593 2463 -0.331   32  0.381   32  0.153   41 -0.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 17.461   54 -0.156   28  0.095
Faulkner                17 13 2284 2178 -0.401   50 -0.087   50 -0.223   49 -0.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.026   59 -0.294   37 -0.138
Bethel TN               18 15 2894 2776 -0.416   53 -0.155   53 -0.283   60 -0.399    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 15.485   13  0.699   86 -1.496
Blue Mountain           15 17 2015 2197 -0.393   57 -0.237   57 -0.369   72 -0.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.089   90 -1.751   20  0.334
Middle Georgia St       15 18 2566 2579 -0.395   63 -0.406   63 -0.524   59 -0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 14.720   56 -0.218   65 -0.555
Mobile                   9 22 2024 2212 -0.534   80 -0.974   80 -1.036   80 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 12.514   89 -1.743   46 -0.196
Brewton-Parker           8 22 2142 2475 -0.531   82 -0.999   82 -1.064   86 -1.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 12.302   79 -1.110   83 -1.248
Coastal Georgia          3 27 2129 2463 -0.530   90 -1.620   90 -1.643   87 -1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 10.100   83 -1.172   82 -1.206

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE        W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Golden St       163 112 0.593    1  0.330
Mid-South       156  99 0.612    2  0.125
Frontier        130  99 0.568    3  0.056
Sooner          179 147 0.549    4 -0.119
HAAC            223 229 0.493    5 -0.260
Red River       174 179 0.493    6 -0.266
Southern Sts    183 172 0.515    7 -0.388
Amer Midwest    197 182 0.520    8 -0.441
Gulf Coast      100 112 0.472    9 -0.452
AII-I            47  80 0.370   10 -1.461

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.238 points in main ratings
     0.029 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:25:45 2019

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